气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Long-term electricity load forecasting: Current and future trends

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DOI	10.1016/j.jup.2019.04.001
	Long-term electricity load forecasting: Current and future trends
	Lindberg, K. B.1,2; Seljom, P.3; Madsen, H.4; Fischer, D.5; Korpas, M.1
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0957-1787
EISSN	1878-4356
卷号	58 页码:102-119
英文摘要	Long-term power-system planning and operation, build on expectations concerning future electricity demand and future transmission/generation capacities. This paper reviews current methodologies for forecasting long term hourly electricity demand on an aggregate scale (regional or nationally), for 10-50 years ahead. We discuss the challenges of these methodologies in a future energy system featuring more renewable energy sources and tighter coupling between the power sector and the building and transport sectors. Finally, we conclude with some recommendations on aspects to be taken into account regarding long-term load forecasts in a changing power system.
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊	UTILITIES POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98548
作者单位	1.Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol NTNU, Dept Elect Power Engn, Trondheim, Norway; 2.SINTEF Bldg & Infrastruct, Dept Energy & Indoor Climate, Oslo, Norway; 3.Inst Energy Technol IFE, Dept Energy Syst Anal, Kjeller, Norway; 4.DTU Compute, Copenhagen, Denmark; 5.Fraunhofer ISE, Smart Grids Dept, Freiburg, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lindberg, K. B.,Seljom, P.,Madsen, H.,et al. Long-term electricity load forecasting: Current and future trends[J],2019,58:102-119.
APA	Lindberg, K. B.,Seljom, P.,Madsen, H.,Fischer, D.,&Korpas, M..(2019).Long-term electricity load forecasting: Current and future trends.UTILITIES POLICY,58,102-119.
MLA	Lindberg, K. B.,et al."Long-term electricity load forecasting: Current and future trends".UTILITIES POLICY 58(2019):102-119.