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DOI10.1029/2018JC014614
Multidecadal Wind Variability Drives Temperature Shifts on the Agulhas Bank
Malan, Neil1,2,3,4; Durgadoo, Jonathan V.5; Biastoch, Arne5; Reason, Chris2; Hermes, Juliet1,2,6
发表日期2019
ISSN2169-9275
EISSN2169-9291
卷号124期号:5页码:3021-3035
英文摘要

The Agulhas Bank is an important area for the spawning of small pelagic fish and other species. Here, within a NEMO ocean model, we investigate changes in temperature over the Bank on multidecadal time scales. In agreement with previous observational studies, a shift to colder temperatures is found in 1997. The model also simulates an earlier shift from colder to warmer temperatures in 1966. These shifts are coastally confined and shown, using a climatologically forced model run as a control, to be driven by a north-south migration in the large-scale wind belts, rather than by changes in downward heat fluxes or changes in the Agulhas Current itself. The zonal wind changes on the Agulhas Bank show a significant relationship with the Southern Annular Mode, showing some promise for future predictability of cold and warm regimes on the Agulhas Bank. Thus, while the Agulhas Current has been shown in previous work to have a large impact on intra-annual and interannual temperature variability, this work shows that multidecadal variability in temperature on the shelf is likely to be wind forced.


WOS研究方向Oceanography
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/96900
作者单位1.SAEON Egagasini Node, Cape Town, South Africa;
2.Univ Cape Town, Dept Oceanog, Cape Town, South Africa;
3.Univ Cape Town, Nansen Tutu Ctr Marine Environm Res, Cape Town, South Africa;
4.Univ New South Wales, Sch Math & Stat, Coastal & Reg Oceanog Lab, Sydney, NSW, Australia;
5.GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel, Kiel, Germany;
6.Nelson Mandela Univ, Sch Environm Sci, Port Elizabeth, South Africa
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GB/T 7714
Malan, Neil,Durgadoo, Jonathan V.,Biastoch, Arne,et al. Multidecadal Wind Variability Drives Temperature Shifts on the Agulhas Bank[J],2019,124(5):3021-3035.
APA Malan, Neil,Durgadoo, Jonathan V.,Biastoch, Arne,Reason, Chris,&Hermes, Juliet.(2019).Multidecadal Wind Variability Drives Temperature Shifts on the Agulhas Bank.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS,124(5),3021-3035.
MLA Malan, Neil,et al."Multidecadal Wind Variability Drives Temperature Shifts on the Agulhas Bank".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS 124.5(2019):3021-3035.
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