气候变化领域集成服务门户

Climate change has increased global mean surface temperatures and altered hydrological processes, and projections suggest that these changes will accelerate. As seasonal precipitation patterns change, so will the soil resources available for plants. In the midwestern United States, winter temperatures and precipitation are expected to increase, while snowfall is expected to be reduced. Reduced snowpack could lead to greater frost damage and alter the timing and amount of plant available resources at the start of the growing season. In the summer, precipitation is expected to decrease, and variability is expected to increase, creating longer and more frequent dry periods. In temperate forests, herbaceous understory plants and woody plants in early developmental stages are expected to be highly sensitive to changes in abiotic conditions. Here, we study how seasonal changes in precipitation affect the timing and availability of resources in a temperate deciduous forest. Further, we examine how changes in abiotic conditions influence understory composition and woody plant recruitment. We established a fully factorial experiment that manipulated winter snowfall and summer precipitation to create wet, dry, and control (ambient) conditions in a temperate deciduous forest near West Lafayette, Indiana, USA. We found that large changes in winter and summer precipitation appeared to affect forest processes independently of one another, and changes in seasonal precipitation altered understory composition minimally and had little to no effect on mineralization rates. The recruitment of woody plant species may be more sensitive to altered precipitation, as snow removal lowered germination rates and wet summer conditions lowered relative growth of a woody plant species, Lindera benzoin. In general, though, ecological processes in this forest understory were relatively resistant to change, at least in the short timeframe of this experiment.