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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.419 |
Airborne Alternaria and Cladosporium fungal spores in Europe: Forecasting possibilities and relationships with meteorological parameters | |
Grinn-Gofron, Agnieszka1; Nowosad, Jakub2,3; Bosiacka, Beata1; Camacho, Irene4; Pashley, Catherine5; Belmonte, Jordina6,7; De Linares, Concepcion6,7; Ianovici, Nicoleta8; Maya Manzano, Jose Maria9; Sadys, Magdalena10,11; Skjoth, Carsten10; Rodinkova, Victoria12; Tormo-Molina, Rafael13; Vokou, Despoina14; Fernandez-Rodriguez, Santiago13; Damialis, Athanasios14,15,16,17 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
卷号 | 653页码:938-946 |
英文摘要 | Airborne fungal spores are prevalent components of bioaerosols with a large impact on ecology, economy and health. Their major socioeconomic effects could be reduced by accurate and timely prediction of airborne spore concentrations. The main aim of this study was to create and evaluate models of Alternaria and Cladosporium spore concentrations based on data on a continental scale. Additional goals included assessment of the level of generalization of the models spatially and description of the main meteorological factors influencing fungal spore concentrations. Aerobiological monitoring was carried out at 18 sites in six countries across Europe over 3 to 21 years depending on site. Quantile random forest modelling was used to predict spore concentrations. Generalization of the Alternaria and Cladosporium models was tested using (i) one model for all the sites, (ii) models for groups of sites, and (iii) models for individual sites. The study revealed the possibility of reliable prediction of fungal spore levels using gridded meteorological data. The classification models also showed the capacity for providing larger scale predictions of fungal spore concentrations. Regression models were distinctly less accurate than classification models due to several factors, including measurement errors and distinct day-to-day changes of concentrations. Temperature and vapour pressure proved to be the most important variables in the regression and classification models of Alternaria and Cladosporium spore concentrations. Accurate and operational daily-scale predictive models of bioaerosol abundances contribute to the assessment and evaluation of relevant exposure and consequently more timely and efficient management of phytopathogenic and of human allergic diseases. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93694 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Szczecin, Dept Plant Taxon & Phytogeog, Fac Biol, Szczecin, Poland; 2.Univ Cincinnati, Space Informat Lab, 219 Braunstein Hall, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA; 3.Adam Mickiewicz Univ, Inst Geoecol & Geoinformat, Poznan, Poland; 4.Campus Univ Penteada, Madeira Univ, Fac Life Sci, P-9000390 Funchal, Portugal; 5.Univ Leicester, Inst Lung Hlth, Dept Infect Immun & Inflammat, Leicester LE1 7RH, Leics, England; 6.Univ Autonoma Barcelona, Fac Ciencias, Unidad Bot, Barcelona, Spain; 7.Univ Autonoma Barcelona, Dept Anim Biol Plant Biol & Ecol, Bot Unit, Bellaterra, Cerdanyola Del, Spain; 8.West Univ Timisoara, Fac Chem Biol Geog, Dept Biol, Timisoara, Romania; 9.Univ Extremadura, Fac Sci, Dept Plant Biol Ecol & Earth Sci, Avda Elvas S-N, E-06071 Badajoz, Spain; 10.Univ Worcester, Inst Sci & Environm, Worcester WR2 6AJ, England; 11.Hereford & Worcester Fire & Rescue Serv Headquart, Performance & Informat, Hindlip Pk, Worcester WR3 8SP, England; 12.Natl Pirogov Mem Med Univ, Vinnytsia, Ukraine; 13.Univ Extremadura, Sch Technol, Dept Construct, Avda Univ S-N, Caceres, Spain; 14.Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Biol, Dept Ecol, GR-54124 Thessaloniki, Greece; 15.Tech Univ Munich, UNIKA T, Chair & Inst Environm Med, Neusaesser Str 47, D-86156 Augsburg, Germany; 16.Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Neusaesser Str 47, D-86156 Augsburg, Germany; 17.German Res Ctr Environm Hlth, Neusaesser Str 47, D-86156 Augsburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grinn-Gofron, Agnieszka,Nowosad, Jakub,Bosiacka, Beata,et al. Airborne Alternaria and Cladosporium fungal spores in Europe: Forecasting possibilities and relationships with meteorological parameters[J],2019,653:938-946. |
APA | Grinn-Gofron, Agnieszka.,Nowosad, Jakub.,Bosiacka, Beata.,Camacho, Irene.,Pashley, Catherine.,...&Damialis, Athanasios.(2019).Airborne Alternaria and Cladosporium fungal spores in Europe: Forecasting possibilities and relationships with meteorological parameters.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,653,938-946. |
MLA | Grinn-Gofron, Agnieszka,et al."Airborne Alternaria and Cladosporium fungal spores in Europe: Forecasting possibilities and relationships with meteorological parameters".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 653(2019):938-946. |
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