CCPortal
DOI10.2151/jmsj.2019-007
Future Changes in Precipitation Extremes Associated with Tropical Cyclones Projected by Large-Ensemble Simulations
Kitoh, Akio1,2; Endo, Hirokazu2
发表日期2019
ISSN0026-1165
EISSN2186-9057
卷号97期号:1页码:141-152
英文摘要

Future changes in precipitation extremes and role of tropical cyclones are investigated through a large ensemble experiment, considering 6,000 years for the present and 5,400 years under + 4 K warming, using a 60-km mesh Meteorological Research Institute atmospheric general circulation model version 3.2. As in the previous findings of the authors, the annual maximum 1-day precipitation total ( Rx1d) is projected to increase in the warmer world in the future almost globally, except in the western North Pacific where a projected decrease of tropical cyclone frequency results in only small change or even reduction of Rx1d. Furthermore, a large ensemble size enables us to investigate the changes in the tails of the Rx1d distribution. It is found that 90- and 99-percentile values of the Rx1d associated with tropical cyclones will increase in a region extending from Hawaii to the south of Japan. In this region, the interannual variability of the Rx1d associated with tropical cyclones is also projected to increase, implying an increasing risk of rare heavier rainfall events because of global warming.


WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/92425
作者单位1.Japan Meteorol Business Support Ctr, 1-1 Nagamine, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3050052, Japan;
2.Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kitoh, Akio,Endo, Hirokazu. Future Changes in Precipitation Extremes Associated with Tropical Cyclones Projected by Large-Ensemble Simulations[J],2019,97(1):141-152.
APA Kitoh, Akio,&Endo, Hirokazu.(2019).Future Changes in Precipitation Extremes Associated with Tropical Cyclones Projected by Large-Ensemble Simulations.JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN,97(1),141-152.
MLA Kitoh, Akio,et al."Future Changes in Precipitation Extremes Associated with Tropical Cyclones Projected by Large-Ensemble Simulations".JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN 97.1(2019):141-152.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Kitoh, Akio]的文章
[Endo, Hirokazu]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Kitoh, Akio]的文章
[Endo, Hirokazu]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Kitoh, Akio]的文章
[Endo, Hirokazu]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。