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DOI10.5194/bg-16-241-2019
Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change
Yousefpour, Rasoul1,2; Nabel, Julia E. M. S.1; Pongratz, Julia1,3
发表日期2019
ISSN1726-4170
EISSN1726-4189
卷号16期号:2页码:241-254
英文摘要

Forests are the main source of biomass production from solar energy and take up around 2.4 +/- 0.4 PgC per year globally. Future changes in climate may affect forest growth and productivity. Currently, state-of-the-art Earth system models use prescribed wood harvest rates in future climate projections. These rates are defined by integrated assessment models (IAMs), only accounting for regional wood demand and largely ignoring the supply side from forests. Therefore, we assess how global growth and harvest potentials of forests change when they are allowed to respond to changes in environmental conditions. For this, we simulate wood harvest rates oriented towards the actual rate of forest growth. Applying this growth-based harvest rule (GB) in JSBACH, the land component of the Max Planck Institute's Earth system model, forced by several future climate scenarios, we realized a growth potential 2 to 4 times (3-9 PgC yr(-1)) the harvest rates prescribed by IAMs (1-3 PgC yr(-1)). Limiting GB to managed forest areas (MF), we simulated a harvest potential of 3-7 PgC yr(-1), 2 to 3 times higher than IAMs. This highlights the need to account for the dependence of forest growth on climate. To account for the long-term effects of wood harvest as integrated in IAMs, we added a life cycle analysis, showing that the higher supply with MF as an adaptive forest harvesting rule may improve the net mitigation effects of forest harvest during the 21st century by sequestering carbon in anthropogenic wood products.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology
来源期刊BIOGEOSCIENCES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/92212
作者单位1.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Land Earth Syst, Bundesstr 53, D-20143 Hamburg, Germany;
2.Univ Freiburg, Chair Forestry Econ & Forest Planning, Tennenbacherstr 4, D-79106 Freiburg, Germany;
3.Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Dept Geog, Luisenstr 37, D-80333 Munich, Germany
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GB/T 7714
Yousefpour, Rasoul,Nabel, Julia E. M. S.,Pongratz, Julia. Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change[J],2019,16(2):241-254.
APA Yousefpour, Rasoul,Nabel, Julia E. M. S.,&Pongratz, Julia.(2019).Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change.BIOGEOSCIENCES,16(2),241-254.
MLA Yousefpour, Rasoul,et al."Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change".BIOGEOSCIENCES 16.2(2019):241-254.
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