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DOI10.1016/j.catena.2018.08.028
Spatio-temporal changes of the climatic water balance in Romania as a response to precipitation and reference evapotranspiration trends during 1961-2013
Pravalie, Remus1,2; Piticar, Adrian3; Rosca, Bogdan4; Sfica, Lucian5; Bandoc, Georgeta1; Tiscovschi, Adrian1; Patriche, Cristian4
发表日期2019
ISSN0341-8162
EISSN1872-6887
卷号172页码:295-312
英文摘要

Changes in precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (ET) and, implicitly, in the climatic water balance (CWB), are imminent effects of climate warming. However, changes in the CWB, as a response to changes in P and ET, have not yet been analysed thoroughly enough in many parts of the world, including Romania. The present study explores the spatio-temporal changes of the CWB (difference between P and reference evapotranspiration, ETo) in Romania, based on a wide range of climatic data (P, as well as temperature, relative air humidity, sunshine duration and wind speed, necessary for computing ETo with the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method) recorded at 70 weather stations across the country in the 1961-2013 period. As a secondary objective, the study attempts to identify the possible connections between the index's trends and large-scale atmospheric circulation, assessed based on the dynamics of certain European-scale relevant teleconnection indices. Thus, the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope methods were used to analyse CWB trends (but also P and ETo trends, in order to explain CWB pattern changes) annually, seasonally and in the maize and wheat growing seasons. Also, the Spearman correlation procedure and a composite analysis between interannual series of teleconnection indices and CWB were used to assess the influence of atmospheric circulation on the index's variability for all analysed time scales. The results generally showed CWB decreases (for the most part of up to -2 mm/yr, yet with a relatively low statistical significance) and highlighted an overall amplification of drier conditions on all time scales, except for autumn (CWB increases, generally of up to 1 mm/yr, but with low statistical significance). Moreover, net changes of even under -200 mm/53 yrs annually and -175 mm/53 yrs in summer and for the maize and wheat growing seasons were found in the CWB. Spatially, it was found that the country's southwestern and southeastern regions are the main epicentres of drier trends, while the northwest appears to have become wetter. Overall, the negative CWB trends are due to partial P decreases (statistically insignificant) and general ETo increases (highly statistically significant, even 100% in summer). It seems that the amplification of the climatic water deficit across the country is especially linked to the positive phases of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation, but also, in part, to those of several other teleconnection indices that affect Europe. Our results signal the necessity to adapt anthropic and ecological systems to future dryness trends countrywide, which will most likely intensify against the background of climate change expected to occur by the end of the century.


WOS研究方向Geology ; Agriculture ; Water Resources
来源期刊CATENA
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90837
作者单位1.Univ Bucharest, Fac Geog, 1 Nicolae Balcescu St, Bucharest 010041, Romania;
2.Univ Bucharest, ICUB, 36-46 M Kogalniceanu Blvd, Bucharest 050107, Romania;
3.Babas Bolyai Univ, Fac Geog, 5-7 Clinicilor St, Cluj Napoca 400006, Romania;
4.Romanian Acad, Iasi Div, Geog Dept, 8 Carol I St, Iasi 700505, Romania;
5.Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Fac Geog & Geol, Dept Geog, 20A Carol I St, Iasi 700506, Romania
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pravalie, Remus,Piticar, Adrian,Rosca, Bogdan,et al. Spatio-temporal changes of the climatic water balance in Romania as a response to precipitation and reference evapotranspiration trends during 1961-2013[J],2019,172:295-312.
APA Pravalie, Remus.,Piticar, Adrian.,Rosca, Bogdan.,Sfica, Lucian.,Bandoc, Georgeta.,...&Patriche, Cristian.(2019).Spatio-temporal changes of the climatic water balance in Romania as a response to precipitation and reference evapotranspiration trends during 1961-2013.CATENA,172,295-312.
MLA Pravalie, Remus,et al."Spatio-temporal changes of the climatic water balance in Romania as a response to precipitation and reference evapotranspiration trends during 1961-2013".CATENA 172(2019):295-312.
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