Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4128-0 |
Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme | |
Zeroual, Ayoub1,2; Assani, Ali A.2; Meddi, Mohamed1; Alkama, Ramdane3 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
卷号 | 52期号:1-2页码:227-243 |
英文摘要 | Significant changes in regional climates have been observed at the end of the twentieth century, taking place at unprecedented rates. These changes, in turn, lead to changes in global climate zones with pace and amplitude varying from one region to another. Algeria, a country characterized by climate conditions ranging from relatively wet to very dry (desert-like), has also experienced changes in its climate regions, notably in the country's wet region, which represents about 7% of its total surface area, but is home to 75% of its population. In this study, the pace of climate zone changes as it is defined by Koppen-Geiger was analyzed for the period from 1951 to 2098 using climate data from observation and regional climate simulations over Algeria. The ability of the CORDEX-Africa regional climate models simulations to reproduce the current observed climate zones and their shifts was first assessed. Future changes over the whole of the twenty-first century were then estimated based on two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) scenarios. Analysis of the shift rate of climate zones from 1951 to 2005 found a gradual but significant expansion of the surface area of the desert zone at an approximate rate of 650 +/- 160km(2)/year along with the abrupt shrinking, by approximately 30%, at a rate of 1086 +/- 270km(2)/year, of the warm temperate climate zone surface area. According to projections for the RCP8.5 scenario, the rate of expansion of desert climate will increase in the future (twenty-first century), particularly during the period from 2045 to 2098. |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90180 |
作者单位 | 1.Ecole Natl Super Hydraul Blida, GEE, Soumaa, Algeria; 2.Univ Quebec Trois Rivieres, Dept Environm Sci, Trois Rivieres, PQ, Canada; 3.European Commiss, JRC, Directorate D Sustainable Resources, Bioecon Unit, TP124 Via E Fermi,2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zeroual, Ayoub,Assani, Ali A.,Meddi, Mohamed,et al. Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme[J],2019,52(1-2):227-243. |
APA | Zeroual, Ayoub,Assani, Ali A.,Meddi, Mohamed,&Alkama, Ramdane.(2019).Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52(1-2),227-243. |
MLA | Zeroual, Ayoub,et al."Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52.1-2(2019):227-243. |
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