气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Extreme climate projections over the transboundary Koshi River Basin using a high resolution regional climate model

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DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2017.08.006
	Extreme climate projections over the transboundary Koshi River Basin using a high resolution regional climate model
	Rajbhandari R.; Shrestha A.B.; Nepal S.; Wahid S.; Ren G.-Y.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	1674-9328
卷号	8 期号:3
英文摘要	The high-resolution climate model Providing REgional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) was used to project the changes in future extreme precipitation and temperature over the Koshi River Basin for use in impact assessments. Three outputs of the Quantifying Uncertainties in Model Prediction (QUMP) simulations using the Hadley Centre Couple Model (HadCM3) based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario were used to project the future climate. The projections were analysed for three time slices, 2011–2040 (near future), 2041–2070 (mid-century), and 2071–2098 (distant future). The results show an increase in the future frequency and intensity of climate extremes events such as dry days, consecutive dry days, and very wet days (95th percentile), with greater increases over the southern plains than in the mountainous area to the north. A significant decrease in moderate rainfall days (75th percentile) is projected over the middle (high) mountain and trans-Himalaya areas. Increases are projected in both the extreme maximum and extreme minimum temperature, with a slightly higher rate in minimum temperature. The number of warm days is projected to increase throughout the basin, with more rapid rates in the trans-Himalayan and middle mountain areas than in the plains. Warm nights are also projected to increase, especially in the southern plains. A decrease is projected in cold days and cold nights indicating overall warming throughout the basin. © 2017 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration)
英文关键词	Climate change; Climate projection; Extreme climate; Koshi basin; PRECIS
语种	英语
来源期刊	Advances in Climate Change Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/89184
作者单位	Department of Meteorology, Tri-Chandra Campus, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal; International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, Kathmandu, Nepal; National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100081, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rajbhandari R.,Shrestha A.B.,Nepal S.,et al. Extreme climate projections over the transboundary Koshi River Basin using a high resolution regional climate model[J],2017,8(3).
APA	Rajbhandari R.,Shrestha A.B.,Nepal S.,Wahid S.,&Ren G.-Y..(2017).Extreme climate projections over the transboundary Koshi River Basin using a high resolution regional climate model.Advances in Climate Change Research,8(3).
MLA	Rajbhandari R.,et al."Extreme climate projections over the transboundary Koshi River Basin using a high resolution regional climate model".Advances in Climate Change Research 8.3(2017).