气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study

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DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2018.02.001
	Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study
	Lugovoy O.; Feng X.-Z.; Gao J.; Li J.-F.; Liu Q.; Teng F.; Zou L.-L.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	1674-9318
卷号	9 期号:1
英文摘要	The paper summarizes results of the China Energy Modeling Forum's (CEMF) first study. Carbon emissions peaking scenarios, consistent with China's Paris commitment, have been simulated with seven national and industry-level energy models and compared. The CO2 emission trends in the considered scenarios peak from 2015 to 2030 at the level of 9–11 Gt. Sector-level analysis suggests that total emissions pathways before 2030 will be determined mainly by dynamics of emissions in the electric power industry and transportation sector. Both sectors will experience significant increase in demand, but have low-carbon alternative options for development. Based on a side-by-side comparison of modeling input and results, conclusions have been drawn regarding the sources of emissions projections differences, which include data, views on economic perspectives, or models' structure and theoretical framework. Some suggestions have been made regarding energy models' development priorities for further research. © 2018 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration)
英文关键词	Bottom-Up energy models; Carbon emissions projections; China Energy Modeling Forum (CEMF); China's Paris commitment; Climate change; CO2 emissions peak; Multi model comparative study; Top-Down energy models
语种	英语
来源期刊	Advances in Climate Change Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/89174
作者单位	Environmental Defense Fund, Washington, DC 20009, United States; Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing, 100029, China; Environmental Defense Fund, Beijing, 100007, China; Policy Simulation Laboratory, State Information Center, Beijing, 100045, China; National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Beijing, 100038, China; Institutes of Energy, Environment, and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lugovoy O.,Feng X.-Z.,Gao J.,et al. Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study[J],2018,9(1).
APA	Lugovoy O..,Feng X.-Z..,Gao J..,Li J.-F..,Liu Q..,...&Zou L.-L..(2018).Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study.Advances in Climate Change Research,9(1).
MLA	Lugovoy O.,et al."Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study".Advances in Climate Change Research 9.1(2018).