气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016

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DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2018.06.002
	Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016
	ZHANG W.-Q.; WU L.-G.; ZOU X.-K.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	1674-9307
卷号	9 期号:3
英文摘要	The tropical cyclone (TC) trajectory model has been widely used to investigate the mechanism of the climate change of TC tracks. In this study, the Gaussian weight interpolation method is used to calculate the beta drift in the TC track or trajectory model. By simulating historical TC tracks, the new calculation can better simulate the spatial distribution of the frequency of TC occurrence. The improved track model is further used to understand the TC track change during the period of 1979–2016. In 1979–2016, the TC activity has been suppressed in the South China Sea (SCS) while the TC influence along the southeast coastal regions of China has been increased. The sensitivity experiments indicate that the change of the formation location plays a dominant role in decreasing TC influence in the SCS while the change of the environmental steering flows increases the TC influence in the eastern coastal region of China. This study suggests that the ongoing climate change can affect the TC activity along the coast of China. © 2018 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration)
英文关键词	Beta drift; Formation position; Large-scale steering flows; Trajectory model; Tropical cyclone
语种	英语
来源期刊	Advances in Climate Change Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/89163
作者单位	Pacific Typhoon Research Center, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; Key Laboratory for Climate Studies National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100081, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	ZHANG W.-Q.,WU L.-G.,ZOU X.-K.. Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016[J],2018,9(3).
APA	ZHANG W.-Q.,WU L.-G.,&ZOU X.-K..(2018).Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016.Advances in Climate Change Research,9(3).
MLA	ZHANG W.-Q.,et al."Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016".Advances in Climate Change Research 9.3(2018).