Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.10.021 |
Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry | |
Makar, P. A.1; Gong, W.1; Hogrefe, C.2; Zhang, Y.3; Curci, G.4; Zabkar, R.5,6; Milbrandt, J.7; Im, U.8; Balzarini, A.9; Baro, R.10; Bianconi, R.11; Cheung, P.1; Forkel, R.12; Gravel, S.13; Hirtl, M.14; Honzak, L.6; Hou, A.1; Jimenez-Guerrero, P.10; Langer, M.14; Moran, M. D.1; Pabla, B.1; Perez, J. L.15; Pirovano, G.9; San Jose, R.15; Tuccella, P.16; Werhahn, J.12; Zhang, J.1; Galmarini, S.8 | |
发表日期 | 2015-08-01 |
ISSN | 1352-2310 |
卷号 | 115页码:499-526 |
英文摘要 | Fully-coupled air-quality models running in "feedback" and "no-feedback" configurations were compared against each other and observation network data as part of Phase 2 of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative. In the "no-feedback" mode, interactions between meteorology and chemistry through the aerosol direct and indirect effects were disabled, with the models reverting to climatologies of aerosol properties, or a no-aerosol weather simulation, while in the "feedback" mode, the model-generated aerosols were allowed to modify the models' radiative transfer and/or cloud formation processes. Annual simulations with and without feedbacks were conducted for domains in North America for the years 2006 and 2010, and for Europe for the year 2010. Comparisons against observations via annual statistics show model-to-model variation in performance is greater than the within-model variation associated with feedbacks. However, during the summer and during intense emission events such as the Russian forest fires of 2010, feedbacks have a significant impact on the chemical predictions of the models. The aerosol indirect effect was usually found to dominate feedbacks compared to the direct effect. The impacts of direct and indirect effects were often shown to be in competition, for predictions of ozone, particulate matter and other species. Feedbacks were shown to result in local and regional shifts of ozone-forming chemical regime, between NOx- and VOC-limited environments. Feedbacks were shown to have a substantial influence on biogenic hydrocarbon emissions and concentrations: North American simulations incorporating both feedbacks resulted in summer average isoprene concentration decreases of up to 10%, while European direct effect simulations during the Russian forest fire period resulted in grid average isoprene changes of -5 to +12.5%. The atmospheric transport and chemistry of large emitting sources such as plumes from forest fires and large cities were shown to-be strongly impacted by the presence or absence of feedback mechanisms in the model simulations. Summertime model performance for ozone and other gases was improved through the inclusion of indirect effect feedbacks, while performance for particulate matter was degraded, suggesting that current parameterizations for in- and below cloud processes, once the cloud locations become more directly influenced by aerosols, may over- or under-predict the strength of these processes. Process parameterization-level comparisons of fully coupled feedback models are therefore recommended for future work, as well as further studies using these models for the simulations of large scale urban/industrial and/or forest fire plumes. Crown Copyright (C) 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Feedbacks;Air pollution modelling;Weather prediction;Direct effect;Indirect effect;Coupled modelling systems;Forecasting |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000358809600046 |
来源期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
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来源机构 | 美国环保署 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/61874 |
作者单位 | 1.Environm Canada, Air Qual Res Div, Toronto, ON, Canada; 2.US EPA, Atmospher Modeling & Anal Div, Res Triangle Pk, NC 27711 USA; 3.N Carolina State Univ, Dept Marine Earth & Atmospher Sci, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA; 4.Univ Aquila, I-67100 Laquila, Italy; 5.Univ Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia; 6.Ctr Excellence SPACE SI, Ljubljana, Slovenia; 7.Environm Canada, Meteorol Res Div, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 8.Commiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, I-21020 Ispra, Italy; 9.RSE, Milan, Italy; 10.Univ Murcia, MAR UMU, E-30001 Murcia, Spain; 11.Enviroware, Milan, Italy; 12.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, IMK IFU, Garmisch Partenkirchen, Germany; 13.Environm Canada, Air Qual Res Div, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 14.ZAMG, Vienna, Austria; 15.Tech Univ Madrid, ESMG UPM, Madrid, Spain; 16.Univ Aquila, CETEMPS, I-67100 Laquila, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Makar, P. A.,Gong, W.,Hogrefe, C.,et al. Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry[J]. 美国环保署,2015,115:499-526. |
APA | Makar, P. A..,Gong, W..,Hogrefe, C..,Zhang, Y..,Curci, G..,...&Galmarini, S..(2015).Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry.ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT,115,499-526. |
MLA | Makar, P. A.,et al."Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry".ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT 115(2015):499-526. |
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