气候变化领域集成服务门户

In situ measurements of carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O-3) at the Pico Mountain Observatory (PMO) located in the Azores, Portugal, are analyzed together with results from an atmospheric chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) and satellite remote sensing data (AIRS (Atmospheric Infrared Sounder) for CO, and TES (Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer) for O-3) to examine the evolution of free-troposphere CO and O-3 over the North Atlantic for 2001-2011. GEOS-Chem captured the seasonal cycles for CO and O-3 well but significantly underestimated the mixing ratios of CO, particularly in spring. Statistically significant (using a significance level of 0.05) decreasing trends were found for both CO and O-3 based on harmonic regression analysis of the measurement data. The best estimates of the possible trends for CO and O-3 measurements are -0.31 +/- 0.30 (2-sigma) ppbv yr(-1) and -0.21 +/- 0.11 (2-sigma) ppbv yr(-1), respectively. Similar decreasing trends for both species were obtained with GEOS-Chem simulation results. The most important factor contributing to the decreases in CO and O-3 at PMO over the past decade is the decline in anthropogenic emissions from North America, which more than compensate for the impacts from increasing Asian emissions. It is likely that climate change in the past decade has also affected the intercontinental transport of O-3.