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DOI10.1002/ieam.2024
A framework for linking population model development with ecological risk assessment objectives
Raimondo, Sandy1; Etterson, Matthew2; Pollesch, Nathan2; Garber, Kristina3; Kanarek, Andrew3; Lehmann, Wade4; Awkerman, Jill1
发表日期2018-05-01
ISSN1551-3777
卷号14期号:3页码:369-380
英文摘要

The value of models that link organism-level impacts to the responses of a population in ecological risk assessments (ERAs) has been demonstrated extensively over the past few decades. There is little debate about the utility of these models to translate multiple organism-level endpoints into a holistic interpretation of effect to the population; however, there continues to be a struggle for actual application of these models as a common practice in ERA. Although general frameworks for developing models for ERA have been proposed, there is limited guidance on when models should be used, in what form, and how to interpret model output to inform the risk manager's decision. We propose a framework for developing and applying population models in regulatory decision making that focuses on trade-offs of generality, realism, and precision for both ERAs and models. We approach the framework development from the perspective of regulators aimed at defining the needs of specific models commensurate with the assessment objective. We explore why models are not widely used by comparing their requirements and limitations with the needs of regulators. Using a series of case studies under specific regulatory frameworks, we classify ERA objectives by trade-offs of generality, realism, and precision and demonstrate how the output of population models developed with these same trade-offs informs the ERA objective. We examine attributes for both assessments and models that aid in the discussion of these trade-offs. The proposed framework will assist risk assessors and managers to identify models of appropriate complexity and to understand the utility and limitations of a model's output and associated uncertainty in the context of their assessment goals. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2018;14:369-380. Published 2017. This article is a US Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.


英文关键词Population modeling;Ecological risk assessment;Framework;Uncertainty;Model complexity
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000430059200006
来源期刊INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT
来源机构美国环保署
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/56505
作者单位1.US EPA, Gulf Ecol Div, Gulf Breeze, FL 32561 USA;
2.US EPA, Midcontinent Ecol Div, Duluth, MN USA;
3.US EPA, Off Pesticide Programs, Environm Fate & Effects Div, Washington, DC 20460 USA;
4.US EPA, Reg 4, Atlanta, GA USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Raimondo, Sandy,Etterson, Matthew,Pollesch, Nathan,et al. A framework for linking population model development with ecological risk assessment objectives[J]. 美国环保署,2018,14(3):369-380.
APA Raimondo, Sandy.,Etterson, Matthew.,Pollesch, Nathan.,Garber, Kristina.,Kanarek, Andrew.,...&Awkerman, Jill.(2018).A framework for linking population model development with ecological risk assessment objectives.INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT,14(3),369-380.
MLA Raimondo, Sandy,et al."A framework for linking population model development with ecological risk assessment objectives".INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT 14.3(2018):369-380.
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