Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1002/joc.4154 |
An assessment of actual evapotranspiration and soil water deficit in agricultural regions in Europe | |
Kurnik, Blaz1; Kajfez-Bogataj, Lucka2; Horion, Stephanie3 | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
卷号 | 35期号:9页码:2451-2471 |
关键词 | soil water deficitEuropeclimate impactsempirical orthogonal functionsatmospheric blockingNAO |
英文关键词 | Changes in agricultural droughts were investigated using simulations of soil water deficit (SWD) and actual evapotranspiration (ETA) from a distributed semi-empirical soil water balance model-swbEWA. At European scale, both SWD and ETA did not change significantly between 1951 and 2011. However, significant increases in SWD were found in southern Europe, except in western Turkey, whereas in northern Europe changes in SWD remain small. ETA increased significantly as a joint response to increased air temperature and precipitation in northern Europe. Using the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis and the Pearson correlation coefficients (R-Pearson), we showed that large-scale agricultural droughts are influenced by the recurrence of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and by the atmospheric blocking. Atmospheric blocking in different months throughout the year and extreme NAO index (mainly in winter months) contribute to the severity of agricultural droughts. During a negative phase of NAO, storms over the North Atlantic and Europe are less frequent and as a consequence dry weather in Europe is observed. Positive NAO influences agricultural drought in Europe by shifting storms tracks from the North Atlantic onto European continent to more northerly paths, which in turn decreases the amount of precipitation over central Europe. Large SWDs are mainly influenced by atmospheric blocking. Notably, winter blocking increases severity of agricultural droughts in southwestern Europe, while summer blocking influences agricultural droughts in southeastern Europe. Notwithstanding, the first three EOFs contribute to less than 40% of the total spatial variability of SWD. This shows that agricultural droughts are complex phenomena that can be only partly explained by extreme NAO or by intensive atmospheric blocking. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000357894100019 |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
![]() |
来源机构 | 欧洲环境署 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/56261 |
作者单位 | 1.European Environm Agcy, Climate Change Impacts & Adaptat, Copenhagen, Denmark; 2.Univ Ljubljana, Biotechn Fac, Ljubljana 61000, Slovenia; 3.Univ Copenhagen, Dept Geosci & Nat Resource Management, DK-1168 Copenhagen, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kurnik, Blaz,Kajfez-Bogataj, Lucka,Horion, Stephanie. An assessment of actual evapotranspiration and soil water deficit in agricultural regions in Europe[J]. 欧洲环境署,2015,35(9):2451-2471. |
APA | Kurnik, Blaz,Kajfez-Bogataj, Lucka,&Horion, Stephanie.(2015).An assessment of actual evapotranspiration and soil water deficit in agricultural regions in Europe.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,35(9),2451-2471. |
MLA | Kurnik, Blaz,et al."An assessment of actual evapotranspiration and soil water deficit in agricultural regions in Europe".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 35.9(2015):2451-2471. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。