气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin

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	Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin - the BRAHMATWINN Project
	Bongartz, K.; Fluegel, W. -A.; Pechstaedt, J.; Xu Jiangchu; Yao, Tandong
发表日期	2007
起始页码	2124
结束页码	2130
页码	59-80
英文摘要	The overall objective of the study is to enhance capacity to carry out harmonized integrated water resources management (IWRM). For headwater river systems of alpine mountain massifs, impacts from climate change will be modelled and appropriate mitigation measures will be developed in twinning Danube and Upper Brahmaputra River Basins (UBRB). The focus of the research study emphasize on system responses on climate change like cryogenic phenomena as glacier retreat, permafrost thawing and avalanches; the implications for water supply, ecosystems, and hazards; and how these threaten regional populations. Therefore, the relevant knowledge needs to be enhanced concerning key policy areas and strategies to improve the adaptive capacities of communities. The present state is evaluated through a hierarchical approach in four levels: Assessment and holistic analysis of the natural environment to derive the interactive dynamics of the system components. Assessment of the system's human dimension accounting for water related issues of socioeconomic vulnerability to environmental stress in respect to water allocation and demand, and considering the political structures and policies pertaining to the basins. Analysis of present, traditional and conceptual IWRM practices and its potential for adaptation to cope with impacts of changing flow regimes. The development of scenarios relies on downscaling predictions from Global Circulation Models to a basin scale coupled with a DPSIR (Driving forces, Pressures, States, Impacts and Responses) approach. The spatial concept in both mapping the vulnerability and building adaptive IWRM scenarios is the regionalization of Response Units.
关键词	BIODIVERSITY RETREAT CHINA
英文关键词	Integrated Water and Resources Management (IWRM); Global Climate Change (GCC); vulnerability; mountain ecosystems; glacier melt
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Computer Science ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Computer Science, Information Systems ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences ; Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000290030702026
来源期刊	MODSIM 2007: INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION: LAND, WATER AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT: INTEGRATED SYSTEMS FOR SUSTAINABILITY
来源机构	中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/55721
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bongartz, K.,Fluegel, W. -A.,Pechstaedt, J.,et al. Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin - the BRAHMATWINN Project[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2007:59-80.
APA	Bongartz, K.,Fluegel, W. -A.,Pechstaedt, J.,Xu Jiangchu,&Yao, Tandong.(2007).Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin - the BRAHMATWINN Project.MODSIM 2007: INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION: LAND, WATER AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT: INTEGRATED SYSTEMS FOR SUSTAINABILITY,59-80.
MLA	Bongartz, K.,et al."Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin - the BRAHMATWINN Project".MODSIM 2007: INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION: LAND, WATER AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT: INTEGRATED SYSTEMS FOR SUSTAINABILITY (2007):59-80.