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| DOI | 10.3390/w16060805 |
| Assessing Future Hydrological Variability in a Semi-Arid Mediterranean Basin: Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model Projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Climate Scenarios | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| EISSN | 2073-4441 |
| 起始页码 | 16 |
| 结束页码 | 6 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:6 |
| 英文摘要 | Climate is one of the main drivers of hydrological processes, and climate change has caused worldwide effects such as water scarcity, frequent floods and intense droughts. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effects of climate change on the water balance components, high flow and low flow stream conditions in a semi-arid basin in Iran. For this reason, the climate outputs of the CanESM5 model under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 were spatially downscaled by the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM). The hydrological process was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Key findings include a 74% increase in evapotranspiration, a reduction by up to 9.6% in surface runoff, and variations in discharge by up to 53.6%. The temporal analysis of snow melting changes revealed an increase in the volume of snow melting during winter months and a reduction in the volume during spring. The projected climate change is expected to cause notable variations in high and low flow events, particularly under the SSP585 scenario, which anticipates significant peaks in flow rates. This comprehensive analysis underscores the pressing need for adaptive strategies in water resource management to mitigate the anticipated impacts of climate variability. |
| 英文关键词 | extreme flow; CMIP6; hydrological modeling; SUFI-2 algorithm; Taleghan watershed |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001192980000001 |
| 来源期刊 | WATER
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309635 |
| 作者单位 | University of Tehran; Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences & Natural Resources |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Assessing Future Hydrological Variability in a Semi-Arid Mediterranean Basin: Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model Projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Climate Scenarios[J],2024,16(6). |
| APA | (2024).Assessing Future Hydrological Variability in a Semi-Arid Mediterranean Basin: Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model Projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Climate Scenarios.WATER,16(6). |
| MLA | "Assessing Future Hydrological Variability in a Semi-Arid Mediterranean Basin: Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model Projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Climate Scenarios".WATER 16.6(2024). |
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