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DOI | 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109959 |
Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0168-1923 |
EISSN | 1873-2240 |
起始页码 | 349 |
卷号 | 349 |
英文摘要 | Boreal forests are key to global carbon (C) sequestration and storage. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these forests could be profound. Nearly 70 % of the European boreal forests are intensively managed, but our understanding of the combined effects of forest management and climate change on the forest's integral role as a C sink is still limited. In this study, we aim to fill this gap with simulations of the process-based dynamic global vegetation model LPJ-GUESS. We evaluated the effects of four forest management options under two different climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), at a southern boreal forest stand in Sweden. These options were compared against a baseline without clear-cut or management interventions. We found that the projected increase in temperatures (+2 to +4 degrees C) during the latter part of the 21st century will reduce the net C sink strength, particularly in the unmanaged forest. The standing biomass C for reforestations was projected to be 57-67 % lower in 2100 than in the old forest in 2022. The study also revealed that the C sequestration potential of replanted pine forests may surpass that of 200years old forests in the far future (2076-2100). The study did not detect statistically significant differences in overall net C exchange between the clear-cut with subsequent reforestation options and the baseline, even though specific reforestation strategies, such as pine plantations, enhanced the overall net C sink by 7-20 % relative to the baseline during 2022-2100. These findings underscore the profound influence of forest management on the net C budget, surpassing that of climate change scenarios alone. By adopting pertinent reforestation strategies, C uptake could be augmented, with concurrently improved forest productivity, resulting in favourable outcomes for the forest's critical role in C sequestration and storage amidst a changing climate. |
英文关键词 | Carbon compensation point (CCP); Climate scenario (RCP); Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS); Norunda SE-Nor Sweden; Process-based Dynamic Global Vegetation; Model LPJ-GUESS; Reforestation |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001221853100001 |
来源期刊 | AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309422 |
作者单位 | Lund University; Lund University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest[J],2024,349. |
APA | (2024).Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,349. |
MLA | "Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 349(2024). |
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