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DOI10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109959
Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest
发表日期2024
ISSN0168-1923
EISSN1873-2240
起始页码349
卷号349
英文摘要Boreal forests are key to global carbon (C) sequestration and storage. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these forests could be profound. Nearly 70 % of the European boreal forests are intensively managed, but our understanding of the combined effects of forest management and climate change on the forest's integral role as a C sink is still limited. In this study, we aim to fill this gap with simulations of the process-based dynamic global vegetation model LPJ-GUESS. We evaluated the effects of four forest management options under two different climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), at a southern boreal forest stand in Sweden. These options were compared against a baseline without clear-cut or management interventions. We found that the projected increase in temperatures (+2 to +4 degrees C) during the latter part of the 21st century will reduce the net C sink strength, particularly in the unmanaged forest. The standing biomass C for reforestations was projected to be 57-67 % lower in 2100 than in the old forest in 2022. The study also revealed that the C sequestration potential of replanted pine forests may surpass that of 200years old forests in the far future (2076-2100). The study did not detect statistically significant differences in overall net C exchange between the clear-cut with subsequent reforestation options and the baseline, even though specific reforestation strategies, such as pine plantations, enhanced the overall net C sink by 7-20 % relative to the baseline during 2022-2100. These findings underscore the profound influence of forest management on the net C budget, surpassing that of climate change scenarios alone. By adopting pertinent reforestation strategies, C uptake could be augmented, with concurrently improved forest productivity, resulting in favourable outcomes for the forest's critical role in C sequestration and storage amidst a changing climate.
英文关键词Carbon compensation point (CCP); Climate scenario (RCP); Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS); Norunda SE-Nor Sweden; Process-based Dynamic Global Vegetation; Model LPJ-GUESS; Reforestation
语种英语
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001221853100001
来源期刊AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309422
作者单位Lund University; Lund University
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GB/T 7714
. Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest[J],2024,349.
APA (2024).Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,349.
MLA "Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 349(2024).
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