气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10661-024-12532-2
	Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments
	Xu, Muyuan; de Guenni, Lelys Bravo; Cordova, Jose Rafael
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0167-6369
EISSN	1573-2959
起始页码	196
结束页码	4
卷号	196 期号:4
英文摘要	The increasing intensity and frequency of rainfall events, a critical aspect of climate change, pose significant challenges in the construction of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves for climate projection. These curves are crucial for infrastructure development, but the non-stationarity of extreme rainfall raises concerns about their adequacy under future climate conditions. This research addresses these challenges by investigating the reasons behind the IPCC climate report's evidence about the validity that rainfall follows the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship, which suggests a 7% increase in precipitation per 1 degrees C increase in temperature. Our study provides guidelines for adjusting IDF curves in the future, considering both current and future climates. We calculate extreme precipitation changes and scaling factors for small urban catchments in Barranquilla, Colombia, a tropical region, using the bootstrapping method. This reveals the occurrence of a sub-CC relationship, suggesting that the generalized 7% figure may not be universally applicable. In contrast, our comparative analysis with Illinois, USA, an inland city in the north temperate zone, shows adherence to the CC relationship. This emphasizes the need for local parameter calculations rather than relying solely on the generalized 7% figure.
英文关键词	IDF curves; Climate models; Bootstrap; Clausius-Clapeyron relationship; SSP; Climate change; Rainfall extremes
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001185721700008
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308863
作者单位	University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Simon Bolivar University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu, Muyuan,de Guenni, Lelys Bravo,Cordova, Jose Rafael. Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments[J],2024,196(4).
APA	Xu, Muyuan,de Guenni, Lelys Bravo,&Cordova, Jose Rafael.(2024).Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,196(4).
MLA	Xu, Muyuan,et al."Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 196.4(2024).