气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Precipitation and hydrological extremes during the warm season in response to climate change: the example from the Polish Carpathians

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DOI	10.1007/s10113-024-02252-1
	Precipitation and hydrological extremes during the warm season in response to climate change: the example from the Polish Carpathians
	Wypych, Agnieszka; Ustrnul, Zbigniew
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
起始页码	24
结束页码	2
卷号	24 期号:2
英文摘要	This study assesses the long-term variability of extreme precipitation events in the Carpathian region of Poland in relation to climate change and its potential impact on river regime. Focusing on eight catchments with undisturbed runoff regimes, the research utilized daily data from May to October between 1951 and 2022. This data included precipitation totals from 23 gauging stations, discharge values from eight water level gauging stations, and gridded precipitation data from the E-OBS dataset. Additionally, future projections for 2026-2060 under two RCP scenarios (4.5 and 8.5) were generated using five GCM-RCM model combinations from the EURO-CORDEX simulations. The study explored the relationship between precipitation and discharge, using probability techniques to identify extreme events. This study highlights the strong linkages between extreme precipitation and discharge in the region, indicating an elevated flood risk due to increased precipitation variability and volume. Despite no significant trends in the frequency of precipitation extremes being observed in the historical analysis, an increase in seasonal precipitation totals is projected, although with considerable uncertainty.
英文关键词	Precipitation extremes; Hydrological extremes; Climate change; Polish Carpathians
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001232330600005
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308860
作者单位	Jagiellonian University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wypych, Agnieszka,Ustrnul, Zbigniew. Precipitation and hydrological extremes during the warm season in response to climate change: the example from the Polish Carpathians[J],2024,24(2).
APA	Wypych, Agnieszka,&Ustrnul, Zbigniew.(2024).Precipitation and hydrological extremes during the warm season in response to climate change: the example from the Polish Carpathians.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,24(2).
MLA	Wypych, Agnieszka,et al."Precipitation and hydrological extremes during the warm season in response to climate change: the example from the Polish Carpathians".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 24.2(2024).