气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A Combined Seasonal Mann-Kendall and Innovative Approach for the Trend Analysis of Streamflow Rate in Two Croatian Rivers

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/w16101422
	A Combined Seasonal Mann-Kendall and Innovative Approach for the Trend Analysis of Streamflow Rate in Two Croatian Rivers
	Yildiz, Mehmet Berkant; Di Nunno, Fabio; Durin, Bojan; Pham, Quoc Bao; de Marinis, Giovanni; Granata, Francesco
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2073-4441
起始页码	16
结束页码	10
卷号	16 期号:10
英文摘要	Climate change profoundly impacts hydrological systems, particularly in regions such as Croatia, which is renowned for its diverse geography and climatic variability. This study examined the effect of climate change on streamflow rates in two Croatian rivers: Bednja and Gornja Dobra. Using seasonal Mann-Kendall (MK) tests, overall streamflow trends were evaluated. Additionally, innovative polygon trend analysis (IPTA), innovative visualization for innovative trend analysis (IV-ITA), and Bayesian changepoint detection and time series decomposition (BEAST) algorithms were used to assess the trends' magnitudes and transitions. The seasonal MK analysis identified significant decreasing trends, primarily during summer. The results of IPTA and IV-ITA revealed consistent decreasing trends throughout most months, with a notable increase in September, especially at high flow values. The rivers' behavior differed between the first and second halves of the month. BEAST analysis detected abrupt changes, including earlier shifts (1951-1968) in the Bednja and more recent ones (2013-2015) in both the Bednja and, to a lesser extent, the Gornja Dobra rivers. This comprehensive approach enhances our understanding of long-term streamflow trends and short-term fluctuations induced by climate change.
英文关键词	streamflow rate; trend analysis; IPTA method; IV-ITA; BEAST; Croatia
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001231331200001
来源期刊	WATER
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308847
作者单位	University of Cassino; University North - Croatia; University of Silesia in Katowice
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yildiz, Mehmet Berkant,Di Nunno, Fabio,Durin, Bojan,et al. A Combined Seasonal Mann-Kendall and Innovative Approach for the Trend Analysis of Streamflow Rate in Two Croatian Rivers[J],2024,16(10).
APA	Yildiz, Mehmet Berkant,Di Nunno, Fabio,Durin, Bojan,Pham, Quoc Bao,de Marinis, Giovanni,&Granata, Francesco.(2024).A Combined Seasonal Mann-Kendall and Innovative Approach for the Trend Analysis of Streamflow Rate in Two Croatian Rivers.WATER,16(10).
MLA	Yildiz, Mehmet Berkant,et al."A Combined Seasonal Mann-Kendall and Innovative Approach for the Trend Analysis of Streamflow Rate in Two Croatian Rivers".WATER 16.10(2024).