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DOI | 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.05.008 |
Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition | |
Campos-Martins, Susana; Hendry, David F. | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0304-4076 |
EISSN | 1872-6895 |
起始页码 | 239 |
结束页码 | 1 |
卷号 | 239期号:1 |
英文摘要 | We propose a novel approach to measure the global effects of climate change news on financial markets. For that purpose, we first calculate the global common volatility of the oil and gas industry. Then we project it on climate-related shocks constructed using text-based proxies of climate change news. We show that rising concerns about the energy transition make oil and gas share prices move at the global scale, controlling for shocks to the oil price, US and world stock markets. Despite the clear exposure of oil and gas companies to carbon transition risk, not all geoclimatic shocks are alike. The signs and magnitudes of the impacts differ across climate risk drivers. Regarding sentiment, climate change news tends to create turmoil only when the news is negative. Moreover, the adverse effect is amplified by oil price movements but weakened by stock market shocks. Finally, our findings point out climate news materialises when it reaches the global scale, supporting the relevance of modelling geoclimatic volatility. (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
英文关键词 | Geoclimatic volatility shocks; Global common volatility; Multiplicative factor models; Climate transition risk; Oil and gas industry |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001198982200001 |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308816 |
作者单位 | Universidade Catolica Portuguesa; University of Oxford |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Campos-Martins, Susana,Hendry, David F.. Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition[J],2024,239(1). |
APA | Campos-Martins, Susana,&Hendry, David F..(2024).Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition.JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS,239(1). |
MLA | Campos-Martins, Susana,et al."Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition".JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS 239.1(2024). |
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