气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Scenarios of Global Change in the Spree Catchment Influenced by Lignite Mining

CCPortal

DOI	10.5675/HyWa_2024.2_1
	Scenarios of Global Change in the Spree Catchment Influenced by Lignite Mining - A look back 20 years later
	Koch, Hagen; Gaedeke, Anne; Hattermann, Fred F.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1439-1783
起始页码	68
结束页码	2
卷号	68 期号:2
英文摘要	In terms of hydrology and water management, the Spree river catchment in eastern Germany is strongly influenced by the development of lignite mining and power generation (groundwater lowering, seepage losses, mine water discharges, cooling water use in thermal power plants, flooding of former opencast mines), a complex water management system and a continental climate. The GLOWA Elbe project analysed scenarios of global change for the Spree for the period 2003 to 2052. In 2004, one result was that the current system of water management cannot compensate for the consequences of the assumed climate change. After the first 20 years of the simulation period (2003 to 2022), this article analyses the results generated in GLOWA Elbe and other projects as well as the input data, scenarios and models used with regard to their agreement with observed discharges and weather patterns. The mining scenarios used in the projects correspond to the development up to the present time, while the scenarios for climatic development partly deviate significantly from the observations. The latter has considerable consequences for the simulated discharges. Furthermore, it can be shown that the impacts of climate change can be reliably estimated in river basins heavily anthropogenically influenced using hydrological and water management models, although the climate scenarios/models used introduce considerable uncertainty. Therefore, it is indispensable to use input data from various climate scenarios/models in corresponding climate impact studies and to present the entire range of hydrological/water management results.
英文关键词	Spree river; scenarios; climate change; lignite mining; water resources management
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001207143200002
来源期刊	HYDROLOGIE UND WASSERBEWIRTSCHAFTUNG
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308149
作者单位	Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Koch, Hagen,Gaedeke, Anne,Hattermann, Fred F.. Scenarios of Global Change in the Spree Catchment Influenced by Lignite Mining - A look back 20 years later[J],2024,68(2).
APA	Koch, Hagen,Gaedeke, Anne,&Hattermann, Fred F..(2024).Scenarios of Global Change in the Spree Catchment Influenced by Lignite Mining - A look back 20 years later.HYDROLOGIE UND WASSERBEWIRTSCHAFTUNG,68(2).
MLA	Koch, Hagen,et al."Scenarios of Global Change in the Spree Catchment Influenced by Lignite Mining - A look back 20 years later".HYDROLOGIE UND WASSERBEWIRTSCHAFTUNG 68.2(2024).