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DOI10.2480/agrmet.D-23-00022
Preferable weather patterns to brown planthopper advection to Kyushu and its effect of climate change
Oishi, Keito; Inatsu, Masaru; Kawazoe, Sho
发表日期2024
ISSN0021-8588
EISSN1881-0136
起始页码80
结束页码1
卷号80期号:1
英文摘要The brown planthopper, Nilaparvata lugens (Stal), a type of rice pest, immigrates from southern China to western Japan by drifting in the southwesterly environment during the Baiu/Meiyu rainy season. This study aims to investigate the preferable weather patterns for the immigration of brown planthoppers across the East China Sea. We conducted immigration runs using an advection diffusion model for brown planthoppers and projected the possibility of them landing in Kyushu in the model run onto 64 weather map patterns typically observed in June and July, identified by the self-organizing map analysis. The results showed that the immigration occurred under two specific weather map patterns: flow stagnation around western Japan and a low-level jet blowing over the East China Sea. Consistency between landing cases in model runs and the occurrence of the two weather patterns was found in the intraseasonal and interannual variability. We also estimated the change in the frequency of brown planthopper arrival in Kyushu based on the climate change dataset, the database for Policy Decision Making for Future climate change (d4PDF). It was found that the flow stagnation patterns increased in response to global change, at least in the d4PDF dataset. Finally, risk assessment for temperature change and a comparison with trap observations were discussed.
英文关键词Brown planthopper; Climate change; Weather patterns
语种英语
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Agriculture, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001149617600001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307960
作者单位Japan Meteorological Agency; Hokkaido University; Hokkaido University
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GB/T 7714
Oishi, Keito,Inatsu, Masaru,Kawazoe, Sho. Preferable weather patterns to brown planthopper advection to Kyushu and its effect of climate change[J],2024,80(1).
APA Oishi, Keito,Inatsu, Masaru,&Kawazoe, Sho.(2024).Preferable weather patterns to brown planthopper advection to Kyushu and its effect of climate change.JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY,80(1).
MLA Oishi, Keito,et al."Preferable weather patterns to brown planthopper advection to Kyushu and its effect of climate change".JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY 80.1(2024).
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