气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond

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DOI	10.1057/s41599-024-02941-6
	Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond
	Liu, Kedi; Wang, Ranran; Schrijver, Inge; Hoekstra, Rutger
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2662-9992
起始页码	11
结束页码	1
卷号	11 期号:1
英文摘要	Scientists have proposed many Beyond-GDP indicators to replace the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in order to quantify genuine societal development. While GDP is regularly projected, research on future trajectories of Beyond-GDP indicators is lacking, failing to meet policymakers' needs. Focusing on the Human Development Index (HDI), this paper attempts to calculate one of the first global well-being projections for 161 countries by 2100 using the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), the socioeconomic inputs underlying global climate change scenarios. The results indicate a potential global well-being improvement from medium to very high level, depending on the SSPs, with most countries reaching high human development under SSPs 1&5. While serving as an initial step in well-being projection, the results highlight a crucial gap in existing climate change models which are used by the IPCC-they inadequately account for the feedback effects of climate change on well-being. This oversight results in counterintuitive or potentially misleading well-being projections. Therefore, we propose steps to improve this situation. By synthesizing climate change feedback effects on HDI determinants, this assessment delves into their implications for well-being and further underscores the necessity for interdisciplinary collaborations among well-being researchers, climate scientists and policy modelers to achieve sound integral well-being projections.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Arts & Humanities - Other Topics ; Social Sciences - Other Topics
WOS类目	Humanities, Multidisciplinary ; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
WOS记录号	WOS:001195243200001
来源期刊	HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307660
作者单位	Leiden University - Excl LUMC; Leiden University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Kedi,Wang, Ranran,Schrijver, Inge,et al. Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond[J],2024,11(1).
APA	Liu, Kedi,Wang, Ranran,Schrijver, Inge,&Hoekstra, Rutger.(2024).Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond.HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS,11(1).
MLA	Liu, Kedi,et al."Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond".HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2024).