气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4

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DOI	10.1002/joc.8374
	Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4
	Andrade-Gomez, Luisa; Cavazos, Tereza
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0899-8418
EISSN	1097-0088
起始页码	44
结束页码	4
卷号	44 期号:4
英文摘要	Historical meteorological droughts are analysed over the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment-Central America, Caribbean and Mexico (CORDEX-CAM) domain during 1981-2010, with particular emphasis on the North American monsoon (NAM) and the mid-summer drought (MSD) regions. We analyse droughts based on the standardized precipitation index (SPI-12) and the standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI-12) using observations from CRU, CHIRPS, GPCP and ERA5-Land reanalysis (ERA5), and assess the skill of the regional climate model RegCM4 (version 7) at 25 km resolution driven by ERA-Interim (Reg-ERA) and by three global climate models (Reg-GCMs: Reg-Had, Reg-MPI and Reg-GFDL). Observational data sets show large spatial variations in drought frequency, and both Reg-ERA and Reg-GCMs have difficulties simulating it. RegCM4 shows positive precipitation and water balance biases over mountain regions and negative ones over Central America, possibly due to the complex terrain and poor observational data coverage. Despite differences among observations, the trend in droughts, duration and severity show consistent dry hot spots (regions with long-duration severe droughts) over the western United States, the United States-Mexico border region, the NAM, the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America, with stronger values of SPEI-12 than SPI-12, particularly over the subtropical regions. Reg-ERA and ERA5 show similar spatial patterns and similar positive and negative spatial biases relative to observations. Reg-ERA and Reg-Had adequately simulate the spatial patterns of the trend, duration and severity of droughts, with smaller biases in SPI-12 than SPEI-12; in contrast, Reg-MPI and Reg-GFDL overestimate the trend biases over northwest CAM. Observations, reanalysis, and RegCM4 capture an inverse drought response between the NAM and the MSD regions linked to climate teleconnections; however, a stronger drought signal is observed in the NAM, which appears to be linked to decadal variations from negative to positive phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation combined with La Ni & ntilde;a conditions (negative El Ni & ntilde;o 1+2 phase). Observed historical droughts expose dry hot spots over the western United States, the United States-Mexico border region, the North American monsoon (NAM), the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America, including the Dry Corridor. ERA5-Land and RegCM4.7 simulate similar spatial patterns and similar drought metrics with smaller biases with SPI-12 than SPEI-12. Observations, reanalysis and RegCM4.7 capture the teleconnection signal, stronger in the NAM linking droughts to the AMO+ and La Nina conditions. image
英文关键词	CORDEX-CAM; drought; dry hot spots; MSD; NAM; RegCM4.7; teleconnections
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001155805800001
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/306286
作者单位	CICESE - Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada; CICESE - Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrade-Gomez, Luisa,Cavazos, Tereza. Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4[J],2024,44(4).
APA	Andrade-Gomez, Luisa,&Cavazos, Tereza.(2024).Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,44(4).
MLA	Andrade-Gomez, Luisa,et al."Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 44.4(2024).