Climate Change Data Portal
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0d3e |
| Projected ENSO teleconnection on the Southeast Asian climate under global warming | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1748-9326 |
| 起始页码 | 19 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 19期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Given the importance of El Nino-Southern oscillation (ENSO) teleconnection on the Southeast Asia (SEA) climate, the ENSO-induced precipitation and near-surface air temperature anomalies over SEA and its twenty sub-regions are compared between historical (1985-2014) and future (2070-2099) simulations using 30 models from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Future projections suggest that the Philippines, Malay Peninsula, most of the Maritime Continent, and southern Indochina experience reduced (increased) precipitation in the future El Nino (La Nina) summer. Then, during autumn, amplification of ENSO-precipitation teleconnection is projected in the Borneo, Malay Peninsula, and northern Vietnam, raising flood concerns in these sub-regions in future La Nina autumn. During winter, projected ENSO-driven negative anomalies continue intensifying and shifting northeastward, resulting in drier (wetter) conditions for the Philippines and surrounding areas in future El Nino (La Nina). Conversely, a southeastward shift of ENSO-driven precipitation anomalies is projected in the following spring, leading to dampening (an amplification) of teleconnection over the western (eastern) part of SEA. Regarding near-surface air temperature, a 'land-sea contrast' pattern is seen, in which intensified ENSO-driven positive (negative) anomalies are projected over land (ocean). At the sub-region scale, robust amplifications in the ENSO teleconnection are mainly observed when only considering the land temperature. The most noticeable future changes are robust amplification of the ENSO-driven positive temperature anomalies in northern Indochina and Myanmar during winter. These sub-regions typically experience a cooler winter, suggesting that wintertime mean temperature there may be much higher under future El Nino conditions. The projected changes in ENSO-driven precipitation and near-surface air temperature anomalies both appear to scale with the radiative forcing, i.e. a higher radiative forcing corresponds to higher teleconnection changes and more sub-regions of SEA experience robust changes. These results suggest that significant ENSO teleconnection changes can be mitigated by minimizing future warming. |
| 英文关键词 | climate change; ENSO; teleconnection; CMIP6; Southeast Asia |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001110281100001 |
| 来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/304493 |
| 作者单位 | Vietnam Academy of Science & Technology (VAST); University of Science & Technology of Hanoi (USTH) |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Projected ENSO teleconnection on the Southeast Asian climate under global warming[J],2024,19(1). |
| APA | (2024).Projected ENSO teleconnection on the Southeast Asian climate under global warming.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(1). |
| MLA | "Projected ENSO teleconnection on the Southeast Asian climate under global warming".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.1(2024). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
| 个性服务 |
| 推荐该条目 |
| 保存到收藏夹 |
| 导出为Endnote文件 |
| 谷歌学术 |
| 谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
| 百度学术 |
| 百度学术中相似的文章 |
| 必应学术 |
| 必应学术中相似的文章 |
| 相关权益政策 |
| 暂无数据 |
| 收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
