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DOI | 10.1111/ecog.07174 |
Soil and climate-dependent ingrowth inference: broadleaves on their slow way to conquer Swiss forests | |
Flury, Roman; Portier, Jeanne; Rohner, Brigitte; Baltensweiler, Andri; Meusburger, Katrin Di Bella; Scherrer, Daniel; Thurig, Esther; Stadelmann, Golo | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0906-7590 |
EISSN | 1600-0587 |
英文摘要 | Forests provide essential ecosystem services that range from the production of timber to the mitigation of natural hazards. Rapid environmental changes, such as climate warming or the intensification of disturbance regimes, threaten forests and endanger forest ecosystem services. In light of these challenges, it is essential to understand forests' demographic processes of regeneration, growth, and mortality and their relationship with environmental conditions. Specifically, understanding the regeneration process in present-day forests is crucial since it lays the foundation for the structure of future forests and their tree species composition. We used Swiss National Forest Inventory (NFI) data covering vast bio-geographic gradients over four decades to achieve this understanding. Trees that reached a diameter at breast height of 12 cm between two consecutive NFI campaigns were used to determine regeneration and were referred to as ingrowth. Employing three independent statistical models, we investigated the number, species, and diameter of these ingrowth trees. The models were subsequently implemented into a forest simulator to project the development of Swiss forests until the mid-21st century. The simulation results showed an ingrowth decrease and a shift in its species composition, marked by a significant reduction in Norway spruce Picea abies and concurrent increases in broadleaves. Nevertheless, the pace of this change towards climatically better adapted species composition is relatively slow and is likely to slow down even further as ingrowth declines in the future, in contrast to the fast-changing climatic conditions. Hence, support through adaptive planting strategies should be tested in case ingrowth does not ensure the resilience of forests in the future. We conclude that since the regeneration of forests is becoming increasingly challenging, the current level at which ecosystem services are provided might not be ensured in the coming decades. |
英文关键词 | climate change; ecosystem sustainability; forest development; forest simulations; national forest inventory; natural regeneration |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001222638900001 |
来源期刊 | ECOGRAPHY
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/303550 |
作者单位 | Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Flury, Roman,Portier, Jeanne,Rohner, Brigitte,et al. Soil and climate-dependent ingrowth inference: broadleaves on their slow way to conquer Swiss forests[J],2024. |
APA | Flury, Roman.,Portier, Jeanne.,Rohner, Brigitte.,Baltensweiler, Andri.,Meusburger, Katrin Di Bella.,...&Stadelmann, Golo.(2024).Soil and climate-dependent ingrowth inference: broadleaves on their slow way to conquer Swiss forests.ECOGRAPHY. |
MLA | Flury, Roman,et al."Soil and climate-dependent ingrowth inference: broadleaves on their slow way to conquer Swiss forests".ECOGRAPHY (2024). |
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