Climate Change Data Portal
| DOI | 10.3390/geosciences14050112 |
| Analysis of Wildfire Susceptibility by Weight of Evidence, Using Geomorphological and Environmental Factors in the Marche Region, Central Italy | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| EISSN | 2076-3263 |
| 起始页码 | 14 |
| 结束页码 | 5 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:5 |
| 英文摘要 | Fires are a growing problem even in temperate climate areas, such as those in Central Italy, due to climate change leading to longer and longer periods of drought. Thus, knowing the fire susceptibility of an area is crucial for good planning and taking appropriate countermeasures. In this context, it was decided to use only causal factors of a geomorphological and environmental nature in order to obtain a fire susceptibility analysis that can also be applied to climatically under-sampled areas. Vector data of fires in Central Italy from 2005 to 2023 were collected, and the correct areal extent was calculated for each. At the same time, six factors were selected that could have an influence on fire development, such as ecological units, topographic wetness index (TWI), geology, slope, exposure, and altitude. The model was obtained by means of the weight of evidence statistical method, which takes into account past data by reinterpreting them in a future-oriented way on the basis of the identified factors and classes. The model was validated with a test sample and shows an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.72 with a reliability that can be described as good considering the total absence of climatic factors that are known to play a major role in fire development. Furthermore, the identified causal factors were divided into classes, and these were carefully weighted in order to define their relative influence in the study area. Particularly Ecological Units with characteristic and well-defined contrast (C) values, which could lead to a more complete definition of forests that tend to increase fire susceptibility and those that tend to decrease it, allowing the latter to be exploited as a hazard mitigation agent. |
| 英文关键词 | GIS; wildfire; WoE; AUC; TWI; susceptibility; Central Italy; ecological units |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology |
| WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001232672600001 |
| 来源期刊 | GEOSCIENCES
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302998 |
| 作者单位 | University of Camerino; Sapienza University Rome; Universite de Gafsa; University of Houston System; University of Houston; Universite Ferhat Abbas Setif |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Analysis of Wildfire Susceptibility by Weight of Evidence, Using Geomorphological and Environmental Factors in the Marche Region, Central Italy[J],2024,14(5). |
| APA | (2024).Analysis of Wildfire Susceptibility by Weight of Evidence, Using Geomorphological and Environmental Factors in the Marche Region, Central Italy.GEOSCIENCES,14(5). |
| MLA | "Analysis of Wildfire Susceptibility by Weight of Evidence, Using Geomorphological and Environmental Factors in the Marche Region, Central Italy".GEOSCIENCES 14.5(2024). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
| 个性服务 |
| 推荐该条目 |
| 保存到收藏夹 |
| 导出为Endnote文件 |
| 谷歌学术 |
| 谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
| 百度学术 |
| 百度学术中相似的文章 |
| 必应学术 |
| 必应学术中相似的文章 |
| 相关权益政策 |
| 暂无数据 |
| 收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
