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DOI | 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a93 |
Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA | |
Laszewski, Slade; Jia, Shenyue; Viner, Jessica; Ho, Wesley; Hoover, Brian; Kim, Seung Hee; Kafatos, Menas C. | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 2515-7620 |
起始页码 | 6 |
结束页码 | 3 |
卷号 | 6期号:3 |
英文摘要 | In California (CA), the wildland-urban interface (WUI) faces escalating challenges due to surging population and real estate development. This study evaluates communities along CA's WUI that have witnessed substantial population growth from 2010 to 2021, utilizing demographic data and the 2020 WUI boundaries by the University of Wisconsin-Madison SILVIS Lab. Employing the Mann-Kendall test, we analyze yearly population trends for each census tract along the CA WUI and assess their significance. House ownership, affordability, and wildfire risk are examined as potential drivers of this demographic shift. Our findings indicate that 12.7% of CA's total population now resides in census tracts with significant population increases over the past decade, labeled as 'high-growth tracts.' The Bay Area and Southern California, encompassing 76% of all high-growth tracts in CA, witnessed the most substantial population increase along the WUI. Notably, Riverside County stands out with 29.2% of its residents (approximately 717,000 residents) located in high-growth tracts, exemplifying a significant population surge within CA's WUI. Our analysis identifies a significant relationship between population increase in the WUI, house ownership, and affordability, where lower-priced homes come at the expense of heightened wildfire risk. However, the impact of house affordability on population growth within the WUI varies by region, playing a more prominent role in explaining population proportions in Southern California's WUI, while in the universally low-affordability Bay Area, other motivations may drive residents to live within the WUI. Given the rapid growth and insufficient consideration of wildfire risk in the WUI, policymakers must take prompt action, ensuring adequate infrastructure and resources as more individuals relocate to areas with heightened wildfire risk. |
英文关键词 | wildland urban interface; wildfire risk; population trends; mann-kendall test; California; climate change |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001181056500001 |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302729 |
作者单位 | University System of Ohio; Miami University; Chapman University System; Chapman University; Chapman University System; Chapman University; Chapman University System; Chapman University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Laszewski, Slade,Jia, Shenyue,Viner, Jessica,et al. Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA[J],2024,6(3). |
APA | Laszewski, Slade.,Jia, Shenyue.,Viner, Jessica.,Ho, Wesley.,Hoover, Brian.,...&Kafatos, Menas C..(2024).Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS,6(3). |
MLA | Laszewski, Slade,et al."Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS 6.3(2024). |
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