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DOI10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a93
Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA
Laszewski, Slade; Jia, Shenyue; Viner, Jessica; Ho, Wesley; Hoover, Brian; Kim, Seung Hee; Kafatos, Menas C.
发表日期2024
ISSN2515-7620
起始页码6
结束页码3
卷号6期号:3
英文摘要In California (CA), the wildland-urban interface (WUI) faces escalating challenges due to surging population and real estate development. This study evaluates communities along CA's WUI that have witnessed substantial population growth from 2010 to 2021, utilizing demographic data and the 2020 WUI boundaries by the University of Wisconsin-Madison SILVIS Lab. Employing the Mann-Kendall test, we analyze yearly population trends for each census tract along the CA WUI and assess their significance. House ownership, affordability, and wildfire risk are examined as potential drivers of this demographic shift. Our findings indicate that 12.7% of CA's total population now resides in census tracts with significant population increases over the past decade, labeled as 'high-growth tracts.' The Bay Area and Southern California, encompassing 76% of all high-growth tracts in CA, witnessed the most substantial population increase along the WUI. Notably, Riverside County stands out with 29.2% of its residents (approximately 717,000 residents) located in high-growth tracts, exemplifying a significant population surge within CA's WUI. Our analysis identifies a significant relationship between population increase in the WUI, house ownership, and affordability, where lower-priced homes come at the expense of heightened wildfire risk. However, the impact of house affordability on population growth within the WUI varies by region, playing a more prominent role in explaining population proportions in Southern California's WUI, while in the universally low-affordability Bay Area, other motivations may drive residents to live within the WUI. Given the rapid growth and insufficient consideration of wildfire risk in the WUI, policymakers must take prompt action, ensuring adequate infrastructure and resources as more individuals relocate to areas with heightened wildfire risk.
英文关键词wildland urban interface; wildfire risk; population trends; mann-kendall test; California; climate change
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001181056500001
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302729
作者单位University System of Ohio; Miami University; Chapman University System; Chapman University; Chapman University System; Chapman University; Chapman University System; Chapman University
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GB/T 7714
Laszewski, Slade,Jia, Shenyue,Viner, Jessica,et al. Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA[J],2024,6(3).
APA Laszewski, Slade.,Jia, Shenyue.,Viner, Jessica.,Ho, Wesley.,Hoover, Brian.,...&Kafatos, Menas C..(2024).Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS,6(3).
MLA Laszewski, Slade,et al."Yearly population data at census tract level revealed that more people are now living in highly fire-prone zones in California, USA".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS 6.3(2024).
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