气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021

CCPortal

DOI	10.1186/s12879-023-08858-w
	Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021
	Zhang, Meng; Chen, Xinrui; Bu, Qingqing; Tan, Bo; Yang, Tong; Qing, Liyuan; Wang, Yunna; Deng, Dan
发表日期	2024
EISSN	1471-2334
起始页码	24
结束页码	1
卷号	24 期号:1
英文摘要	BackgroundBrucellosis poses a significant public health concern. This study explores the spatial and temporal dynamic evolution of human brucellosis in China and analyses the spatial heterogeneity of the influencing factors related to the incidence of human brucellosis at the provincial level.MethodsThe Join-point model, centre of gravity migration model and spatial autocorrelation analysis were employed to evaluate potential changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of human brucellosis in mainland China from 2005 to 2021. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), and Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) models were constructed to analyze the spatial and temporal correlation between the incidence rate of human brucellosis and meteorological and social factors.ResultsFrom 2005 to 2021, human brucellosis in China showed a consistent upward trend. The incidence rate rose more rapidly in South, Central, and Southwest China, leading to a shift in the center of gravity from the North to the Southwest, as illustrated in the migration trajectory diagram. Strong spatial aggregation was observed. The MGWR model outperformed others. Spatio-temporal plots indicated that lower mean annual temperatures and increased beef, mutton, and milk production significantly correlated with higher brucellosis incidence. Cities like Guangxi and Guangdong were more affected by low temperatures, while Xinjiang and Tibet were influenced more by beef and milk production. Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang were more affected by mutton production. Importantly, an increase in regional GDP and health expenditure exerted a notable protective effect against human brucellosis incidence.ConclusionsHuman brucellosis remains a pervasive challenge. Meteorological and social factors significantly influence its incidence in a spatiotemporally specific manner. Tailored prevention strategies should be region-specific, providing valuable insights for effective brucellosis control measures.
英文关键词	Brucellosis; MGWR; Spatial epidemiology; Medical meteorology; Prevention; Control policy
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Infectious Diseases
WOS类目	Infectious Diseases
WOS记录号	WOS:001140975000001
来源期刊	BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/301698
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Meng,Chen, Xinrui,Bu, Qingqing,et al. Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021[J],2024,24(1).
APA	Zhang, Meng.,Chen, Xinrui.,Bu, Qingqing.,Tan, Bo.,Yang, Tong.,...&Deng, Dan.(2024).Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021.BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES,24(1).
MLA	Zhang, Meng,et al."Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021".BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES 24.1(2024).