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DOI10.1007/s11869-024-01550-1
Premature mortality risk and associated economic loss assessment due to PM2.5 exposure in Delhi, India during 2015-2019
Singh, Amrendra Kumar; Pathak, Ashutosh Kumar; Saini, Gaurav
发表日期2024
ISSN1873-9318
EISSN1873-9326
英文摘要Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has a large and well-documented global burden of disease. Our analysis uses high-resolution (10 km, global-coverage) concentration data and cause-specific integrated exposure-response (IER) functions developed for the Global Burden of Disease 2010 to assess how regional and global improvements in ambient air quality could reduce attributable mortality from PM2.5. Overall, an aggressive global program of PM2.5 mitigation in line with WHO interim guidelines could avoid 750 000 (23%) of the 3.2 million deaths per year currently (ca. 2010) attributable to ambient PM2.5. Modest improvements in PM2.5 in relatively clean regions (North America, Europe) would result in surprisingly large avoided mortality, owing to demographic factors and the nonlinear concentration-response relationship that describes the risk of particulate matter in relation to several important causes of death. In contrast, major improvements in air quality would be required to substantially reduce mortality from PM2.5 in more polluted regions, such as China and India. Moreover, forecasted demographic and epidemiological transitions in India and China imply that to keep PM2.5-attributable mortality rates (deaths per 100 000 people per year) constant, average PM2.5 levels would need to decline by similar to 20-30% over the next 15 years merely to offset increases in PM2.5-attributable mortality from aging populations. An effective program to deliver clean air to the world's most polluted regions could avoid several hundred thousand premature deaths each year.
英文关键词Health effects; Air pollution; Exposure risk; Economics burden; Pollution control; Emissions
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001182181900001
来源期刊AIR QUALITY ATMOSPHERE AND HEALTH
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/300423
作者单位Netaji Subhas University of Technology
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Singh, Amrendra Kumar,Pathak, Ashutosh Kumar,Saini, Gaurav. Premature mortality risk and associated economic loss assessment due to PM2.5 exposure in Delhi, India during 2015-2019[J],2024.
APA Singh, Amrendra Kumar,Pathak, Ashutosh Kumar,&Saini, Gaurav.(2024).Premature mortality risk and associated economic loss assessment due to PM2.5 exposure in Delhi, India during 2015-2019.AIR QUALITY ATMOSPHERE AND HEALTH.
MLA Singh, Amrendra Kumar,et al."Premature mortality risk and associated economic loss assessment due to PM2.5 exposure in Delhi, India during 2015-2019".AIR QUALITY ATMOSPHERE AND HEALTH (2024).
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