气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An ecological input-output CGE model for unveiling CO2 emission metabolism under China's dual carbon goals

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123277
	An ecological input-output CGE model for unveiling CO2 emission metabolism under China's dual carbon goals
	Wang, P. P.; Huang, G. H.; Li, Y. P.; Liu, Y. Y.; Li, Y. F.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0306-2619
EISSN	1872-9118
起始页码	365
卷号	365
英文摘要	Carbon mitigation is essential for combating climate change and its impacts, safeguarding ecosystems, and protecting human health and livelihoods. This study develops an ecological input-output CGE (EIOC) model that integrates computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, input-output analysis (IOA), and ecological network analysis (ENA) to explore the evolution of the CO2 emission metabolism under long-term carbon tax policies. The EIOC model excels not only in intimately depicting economic relationships and evaluating the economic impacts of policy interventions but also in unveiling the complex internal interactions within the context of emission dynamics through multidimensional network perspectives. The EIOC model is employed to analyze CO2 emission flows under carbon tax policies aimed at fulfilling China's dual carbon goals, thereby validating its applicability. It is found that (i) the implementation of carbon tax policies (P25 and P30 scenarios) would lead to economic decline; however, there would emerge potential for recovery in investment and international trade; (ii) adopting an earlier carbon peak target (P25 scenario) would yield more pronounced emission reductions in the early to mid-term (in 2035, reductions in steel, construction, and manufacturing sectors would exceed those under the P30 scenario by 15.74%, 11.89%, and 11.59% respectively); (iii) long-term policies would significantly impact the dynamics of CO2 emission metabolism; chemical sector would display an increased reliance on the system, indicating a heightened need for inputs from the system; transactions exhibiting increased centrality (between chemical and other mining, and between chemical and manufacturing) reveal their elevated significance as transfer pathways of CO2 flows. Identifying significant changes in CO2 emission metabolism can inform incentivizing or constraining measures aimed at further adjusting emissions.
英文关键词	Carbon tax; CO2 emission; Computable general equilibrium model; Ecological network analysis; Input-output analysis
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS记录号	WOS:001214811300001
来源期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/300166
作者单位	Beijing Normal University; University of Regina
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, P. P.,Huang, G. H.,Li, Y. P.,et al. An ecological input-output CGE model for unveiling CO2 emission metabolism under China's dual carbon goals[J],2024,365.
APA	Wang, P. P.,Huang, G. H.,Li, Y. P.,Liu, Y. Y.,&Li, Y. F..(2024).An ecological input-output CGE model for unveiling CO2 emission metabolism under China's dual carbon goals.APPLIED ENERGY,365.
MLA	Wang, P. P.,et al."An ecological input-output CGE model for unveiling CO2 emission metabolism under China's dual carbon goals".APPLIED ENERGY 365(2024).