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DOI10.3389/fsufs.2024.1347594
Examining the dynamic and nonlinear impacts of public health events on the resilience of food supply chain: evidence from China
Li, Jingdong; Li, Zhi; Shi, Zilong; Geng, Hongjun
发表日期2024
EISSN2571-581X
起始页码8
卷号8
英文摘要Introduction The fragility of agriculture makes the food supply chain vulnerable to external risks such as epidemic, conflict, disaster, climate change, economic and energy crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic has spread and continued globally in recent years, resulting in food supply chain disruption and insecurity, which triggers profound reflection on the impacts of public health events (PHEs). Studying the impacts of PHEs on the resilience of food supply chain has great significance to effectively reduce the risks of disruption and insecurity in the future.Methods Based on the composition of PHEs and the division of food supply chain, this paper adopted the nonlinear Granger causality test to verify the nonlinear causal relationship between PHEs and proxy variables in the food supply chain; then the TVP-VAR-SV model was constructed and its three-dimensional pulse response results were matched with the sensitivity, recovery, and adaptation of the food supply chain resilience to deeply explore the dynamic impacts of PHEs.Results PHEs has significant nonlinear conduction effects on the resilience of food supply chain, the impacts of PHEs on the partial sector resilience have significant dynamic characteristics in the whole sample period, and the impacts of PHEs on the recovery and adaptation aspects of food supply chain resilience have structural break characteristics.Discussion The differences, dynamic characteristics and structural breaks of the impacts of PHEs on the resilience of food supply chain are caused by the infectivity and mortality of PHEs, attributes of food products, regulation of supply and demand in the market, behavioral decisions of all participants, changes in the policy environment, and coordination and upgrading of all sectors in the supply chain.
英文关键词public health events; food supply chain; nonlinear conduction; dynamic impacts; COVID-19 pandemic
语种英语
WOS研究方向Food Science & Technology
WOS类目Food Science & Technology
WOS记录号WOS:001176213000001
来源期刊FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/299218
作者单位Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS; Beijing Academy of Science & Technology; Henan University of Technology
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GB/T 7714
Li, Jingdong,Li, Zhi,Shi, Zilong,et al. Examining the dynamic and nonlinear impacts of public health events on the resilience of food supply chain: evidence from China[J],2024,8.
APA Li, Jingdong,Li, Zhi,Shi, Zilong,&Geng, Hongjun.(2024).Examining the dynamic and nonlinear impacts of public health events on the resilience of food supply chain: evidence from China.FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS,8.
MLA Li, Jingdong,et al."Examining the dynamic and nonlinear impacts of public health events on the resilience of food supply chain: evidence from China".FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS 8(2024).
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