气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Statistical Analysis for the Detection of Change Points and the Evaluation of Monthly Mean Temperature Trends of the Moulouya Basin (Morocco)

CCPortal

DOI	10.1155/2024/5027669
	Statistical Analysis for the Detection of Change Points and the Evaluation of Monthly Mean Temperature Trends of the Moulouya Basin (Morocco)
	Addou, Rachid; Obda, Khalid; Krakauer, Nir Y.; Hanchane, Mohamed; Kessabi, Ridouane; El Khazzan, Bouchta; Achir, Imad Eddine
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1687-9309
EISSN	1687-9317
起始页码	2024
卷号	2024
英文摘要	This study examines the spatiotemporal variability of mean monthly temperature in the Moulouya watershed of northeastern Morocco, highlighting associated trends. To this end, statistical methods widely recommended by climate researchers were adopted. We used monthly mean temperature data for the period 1980-2020 from 9 measuring stations belonging to the Moulouya Watershed Agency (ABHM). These stations were rigorously selected, taking into account their reliability, the length of their records, and their geographical position in the basin. In addition, a quality test and homogenization of the temperature series were carried out using the Climatol tool. The results obtained show a significant upward trend in mean monthly temperature, mainly pronounced during the summer months, in the Moulouya watershed. In fact, Z values generally exceeded the 0.05 significance level at all stations during April, May, June, July, August, and October. According to the results of Sen's slope test, mean monthly temperatures show an annual increase ranging from 0 to 0.13 degrees C. The maximum magnitude of warming is recorded in July, specifically at Oujda Station. On an overall watershed scale, May, August, and July show a rapid warming trend, with average rates of 0.093, 0.086, and 0.08 degrees C per year, respectively. By contrast, the series for the other months show no significant trend. Significant trend change points were also identified at watershed and station scales, mainly around 2000, primarily for accelerated warming of the summer months.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001205664400001
来源期刊	ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/298485
作者单位	Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University of Fez; City University of New York (CUNY) System; City College of New York (CUNY); City University of New York (CUNY) System; Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University of Fez
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Addou, Rachid,Obda, Khalid,Krakauer, Nir Y.,et al. Statistical Analysis for the Detection of Change Points and the Evaluation of Monthly Mean Temperature Trends of the Moulouya Basin (Morocco)[J],2024,2024.
APA	Addou, Rachid.,Obda, Khalid.,Krakauer, Nir Y..,Hanchane, Mohamed.,Kessabi, Ridouane.,...&Achir, Imad Eddine.(2024).Statistical Analysis for the Detection of Change Points and the Evaluation of Monthly Mean Temperature Trends of the Moulouya Basin (Morocco).ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY,2024.
MLA	Addou, Rachid,et al."Statistical Analysis for the Detection of Change Points and the Evaluation of Monthly Mean Temperature Trends of the Moulouya Basin (Morocco)".ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY 2024(2024).