气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): China's future wind energy considering air density during climate change

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DOI	10.1016/j.rser.2024.114452
	China's future wind energy considering air density during climate change
	Zhang, Zeyu; Liang, Yushi; Xue, Xinyue; Li, Yan; Zhang, Mulan; Li, Yiran; Ji, Xiaodong
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1364-0321
EISSN	1879-0690
起始页码	199
卷号	199
英文摘要	To assess the impact of air density on future wind resources under representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment-East Asia project was utilized to simulate the future air density characteristics of China (2021-2100). Empirical air density distributions were calculated, and fourteen probability density functions were fitted to the empirical air density distributions, determining the optimal fitted distribution functions. In this study, the effect of air density on the annual energy production and wind power density was quantified. The results indicated that only approximately 4 % of regional air density values reaches the standard air density under the three climate scenarios. The seven parameter Generalized Extreme Value-Generalized Extreme Value distribution, six parameter GammaGeneralized Extreme Value distribution, and six parameter Exponentiated Weibull- Generalized Extreme Value distribution matched the empirical distributions well under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively. Annual energy production and wind power density decreased by more than 15 % after considering air density. Under the different RCP scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), the errors of annual energy production and wind power density gradually escalate. In the Tibetan Plateau region, accounting for air density results in an overestimation of annual energy production by over 40 % and wind power density by more than 35 %. The findings of this study offer guidance for future wind energy resource planning, enabling optimal utilization of wind energy resources.
英文关键词	Air density; CORDEX; RCP scenarios; Spatial variation; Probability density function; Annual energy production; Wind power density
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号	WOS:001235072600001
来源期刊	RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/298211
作者单位	Beijing Forestry University; Jilin Agricultural University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; Southwest Forestry University - China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Zeyu,Liang, Yushi,Xue, Xinyue,et al. China's future wind energy considering air density during climate change[J],2024,199.
APA	Zhang, Zeyu.,Liang, Yushi.,Xue, Xinyue.,Li, Yan.,Zhang, Mulan.,...&Ji, Xiaodong.(2024).China's future wind energy considering air density during climate change.RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS,199.
MLA	Zhang, Zeyu,et al."China's future wind energy considering air density during climate change".RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS 199(2024).