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DOI10.1007/s11069-024-06519-y
QGIS-based modeling and analysis of urban dynamics affecting land surface temperature towards climate hazards in coastal zones of Portugal
发表日期2024
ISSN0921-030X
EISSN1573-0840
起始页码120
结束页码8
卷号120期号:8
英文摘要Climate risk creates considerable concern due to the density of natural and socio-economic assets in coastal areas. Monitoring land use/cover changes, detecting population growth, and analyzing their impact on land surface temperature (LST) are necessary for effective urban management. In this study, land use/land cover (LULC), population, and LST changes in coastal regions of Portugal. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite imagery was examined using World Bank population and CORINE data. Changes in land use types and LST values from 1990 to 2018 were analyzed. At the same time, LULC predictions were made using the Modules for Land Use Change Simulation (MOLUSCE) plug-in included in the QGIS software, and population projections were analyzed with LULC predictions in 2046. The results show the significant impact of land use on temperatures. It has been demonstrated that green and water areas can effectively cool cities. In the LULC changes between 1990 and 2018, the Leiria region stands out, with an annual increase of 4.04% in built areas from 121.58 to 259.06 km2. According to the simulations between 2018 and 2046, it was predicted that 18.74% of agricultural areas and 14.43% of forest areas would be transformed into built environments. The study is also essential as it confirms that the MOLUSCE plug-in can be effectively applied to land cover simulation on a large regional scale.
英文关键词Climate change mitigation; Climate policy; Geographical information science; Land surface temperature; Land use/cover simulation
语种英语
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS记录号WOS:001187601700003
来源期刊NATURAL HAZARDS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/298176
作者单位Kastamonu University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. QGIS-based modeling and analysis of urban dynamics affecting land surface temperature towards climate hazards in coastal zones of Portugal[J],2024,120(8).
APA (2024).QGIS-based modeling and analysis of urban dynamics affecting land surface temperature towards climate hazards in coastal zones of Portugal.NATURAL HAZARDS,120(8).
MLA "QGIS-based modeling and analysis of urban dynamics affecting land surface temperature towards climate hazards in coastal zones of Portugal".NATURAL HAZARDS 120.8(2024).
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