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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-024-07213-2 |
Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
英文摘要 | The amount of winter precipitation in Japan is increasing only in the Kanto-Koshin region, which includes the Tokyo metropolitan area located on the Pacific Ocean side of Japan. This study investigated long-term historical changes in winter precipitation in Japan using a large ensemble of regional climate simulations that capture the observed increases in precipitation in the Kanto-Koshin region. In addition, self-organizing maps (SOMs) were applied to the atmospheric pressure to explore historical changes in weather pattern (WP) leading to precipitation. The results suggest that long-term changes in precipitation/snowfall could be due to differences in the WP frequency of southern-coastal cyclones and WP-related precipitation due to altered background states during the winter. The former and latter can be interpreted as dynamic and thermodynamic impacts of historical climate change. As for the Kanto-Koshin region, atmospheric circulation analogs revealed that thermodynamic and dynamic effects account for similar to 2/3 and similar to 1/3 of the precipitation changes, respectively, while dynamic effects (increases in south coast cyclone occurrence) dominantly account for snowfall changes. These changes could be attributed to the large-scale historical increases in air temperature and water vapor content. |
英文关键词 | Winter precipitation; Snowfall; Global warming; Regional climate ensemble experiments; Weather pattern; Self-organizing map |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001201768400004 |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297690 |
作者单位 | Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry - Japan; Meteorological Research Institute - Japan; Japan Meteorological Agency |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones[J],2024. |
APA | (2024).Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones.CLIMATE DYNAMICS. |
MLA | "Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones".CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2024). |
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