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DOI10.1007/s00382-024-07213-2
Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones
发表日期2024
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
英文摘要The amount of winter precipitation in Japan is increasing only in the Kanto-Koshin region, which includes the Tokyo metropolitan area located on the Pacific Ocean side of Japan. This study investigated long-term historical changes in winter precipitation in Japan using a large ensemble of regional climate simulations that capture the observed increases in precipitation in the Kanto-Koshin region. In addition, self-organizing maps (SOMs) were applied to the atmospheric pressure to explore historical changes in weather pattern (WP) leading to precipitation. The results suggest that long-term changes in precipitation/snowfall could be due to differences in the WP frequency of southern-coastal cyclones and WP-related precipitation due to altered background states during the winter. The former and latter can be interpreted as dynamic and thermodynamic impacts of historical climate change. As for the Kanto-Koshin region, atmospheric circulation analogs revealed that thermodynamic and dynamic effects account for similar to 2/3 and similar to 1/3 of the precipitation changes, respectively, while dynamic effects (increases in south coast cyclone occurrence) dominantly account for snowfall changes. These changes could be attributed to the large-scale historical increases in air temperature and water vapor content.
英文关键词Winter precipitation; Snowfall; Global warming; Regional climate ensemble experiments; Weather pattern; Self-organizing map
语种英语
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001201768400004
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297690
作者单位Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry - Japan; Meteorological Research Institute - Japan; Japan Meteorological Agency
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GB/T 7714
. Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones[J],2024.
APA (2024).Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones.CLIMATE DYNAMICS.
MLA "Assessment of long-term historical trends in winter precipitation in Japan using large-ensemble climate simulations: Changes in the impact of southern coastal cyclones".CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2024).
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