气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections

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DOI	10.3390/atmos15010128
	On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections
	Diaz-Fernandez, Javier; Calvo-Sancho, Carlos; Bolgiani, Pedro; Gonzalez-Aleman, Juan Jesus; Farran, Jose Ignacio; Sastre, Mariano; Martin, Maria Luisa
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2073-4433
起始页码	15
结束页码	1
卷号	15 期号:1
英文摘要	Mountain lee waves present significant hazards to aviation, often inducing turbulence and aircraft icing. The current study focuses on understanding the potential impact of global climate change on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud episodes over central Iberia. We examine the suitability of several Global Climate Models (GCMs) from CMIP6 in predicting these environments using the ERA5 reanalysis as a benchmark for performance. The dataset is divided into two periods: historical data (2001-2014) and projections for the SSP5-8.5 future climate scenario (2015-2100). The variations and trends in precursor environments between historical data and future climate scenarios are exposed, with a particular focus on the expansion of the Azores High towards the Iberian Peninsula, resulting in increased zonal winds throughout the Iberian Peninsula in the future. However, the increase in zonal wind is insufficient to modify the wind pattern, so future mountain lee wave cloud events will not vary significantly. The relative humidity trends reveal no significant changes. Moreover, the risk of icing precursor environments connected with mountain lee wave clouds is expected to decrease in the future, due to rising temperatures. Our results highlight that the EC-EARTH3 GCM reveals the closest alignment with ERA5 data, and statistically significant differences between the historical and future climate scenario periods are presented, making EC-EARTH3 a robust candidate for conducting future studies on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud events.
英文关键词	mountain lee waves; CMIP6; Global Climate Models; SSP5-8.5
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001148972900001
来源期刊	ATMOSPHERE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297663
作者单位	Complutense University of Madrid; Universidad de Valladolid; Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia (AEMET); Complutense University of Madrid
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Diaz-Fernandez, Javier,Calvo-Sancho, Carlos,Bolgiani, Pedro,et al. On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections[J],2024,15(1).
APA	Diaz-Fernandez, Javier.,Calvo-Sancho, Carlos.,Bolgiani, Pedro.,Gonzalez-Aleman, Juan Jesus.,Farran, Jose Ignacio.,...&Martin, Maria Luisa.(2024).On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections.ATMOSPHERE,15(1).
MLA	Diaz-Fernandez, Javier,et al."On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections".ATMOSPHERE 15.1(2024).