气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Carbon peak prediction and emission reduction pathways of China's low-carbon pilot cities: A case study of Wuxi city in Jiangsu province

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141385
	Carbon peak prediction and emission reduction pathways of China's low-carbon pilot cities: A case study of Wuxi city in Jiangsu province
	Qin, Xianhong; Xu, Xiaoyan; Yang, Qingke
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0959-6526
EISSN	1879-1786
起始页码	447
卷号	447
英文摘要	Carbon peaking is a research hotspot in China, aiming to reduce the impact of human activities on global climate change, promote the transformation of Low -carbon economy and realize high-quality development. The article takes Wuxi City in China's Jiangsu Province as a pilot low-carbon city to study its carbon emissions characters, then introduces the KAYA model, and sets different scenarios for the influencing factors, further predicts carbon emissions peak in 2019 similar to 2030, and finally proposes the corresponding carbon reduction pathways. Results show that the total of carbon emissions in the study area is still in the upward period of the Kuznets' inverted U-shaped curve, the main factors are population growth rate, economic growth rate, energy consumption intensity and energy structure. If the enhanced carbon reduction scenario is adopted, carbon emissions peak will occur in 2025 or 2026, and the total carbon emissions will be between 120 million tCO(2) e to 130 million tCO(2) e, and the per capita carbon level will be about 17.5-19.5 tCO(2) e. On the future, ten emission reduction pathways for China's low-carbon cities are put forward: strengthening urban spatial planning, upgrading economic structure, developing low-carbon systems in energy, industry, housing, transportation, and agriculture, encouraging low-carbon lifestyles, reforming low-carbon boosting mechanism, and improving low -carbon governance capability.
英文关键词	Carbon emissions peak; The KAYA model; Reduction pathways; Pilot cities; China
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001218119200001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297248
作者单位	Hohai University; Nanjing University of Finance & Economics
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Qin, Xianhong,Xu, Xiaoyan,Yang, Qingke. Carbon peak prediction and emission reduction pathways of China's low-carbon pilot cities: A case study of Wuxi city in Jiangsu province[J],2024,447.
APA	Qin, Xianhong,Xu, Xiaoyan,&Yang, Qingke.(2024).Carbon peak prediction and emission reduction pathways of China's low-carbon pilot cities: A case study of Wuxi city in Jiangsu province.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,447.
MLA	Qin, Xianhong,et al."Carbon peak prediction and emission reduction pathways of China's low-carbon pilot cities: A case study of Wuxi city in Jiangsu province".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 447(2024).