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DOI10.1007/s12040-024-02282-7
Determine the best method for analysing long-term (120 years) annual and seasonal rainfall trends in four east India river basins
发表日期2024
ISSN2347-4327
EISSN0973-774X
起始页码133
结束页码2
卷号133期号:2
英文摘要Studying rainfall patterns is very important because agricultural production and flood conditions depend on proper water management. Therefore, accurately identifying trends in climate scenarios is essential to achieve this goal. This study, therefore, analyses rainfall trends using the Mann-Kendall test (MKT), modified Mann-Kendall test (MMKT), Spearman rank correlation (SRC), Sen slope estimator (SSE), and innovative trend analysis method (ITAM). This investigation analyses annual, monsoon, autumn, summer, and winter rainfall trends using the most extensive hydrometeorological time series from 1901 to 2020. Five such methods of trend analysis use 120 years of gridded meteorological data from the India Meteorological Department for the neighbouring four river basins Kangsabati, Keliaghai, Silabati, and Dwarkeswer in east India. For the winter period, no significant trend is detected using the MKT, MMKT, SRC, and SSE. While the ITAM detects a significant trend at 88% of grid points of the study area. During other seasons, the MKT, MMKT, SRC and SSE notice trends for 76% of grid points with less significance than the ITAM method. Overall results obtained using the ITAM and MMKT methods are proved to be more effective in detecting sensitive trends. This study can serve as scientific support for the identification and strategic mitigation of climatic change impacts on water management to reduce the risk of climate change.
英文关键词Rainfall trends; modified Mann-Kendall test; innovative trend analysis; Sen slope estimator; Spearman rank correlation
语种英语
WOS研究方向Geology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001197561500010
来源期刊JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296627
作者单位Jadavpur University
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GB/T 7714
. Determine the best method for analysing long-term (120 years) annual and seasonal rainfall trends in four east India river basins[J],2024,133(2).
APA (2024).Determine the best method for analysing long-term (120 years) annual and seasonal rainfall trends in four east India river basins.JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE,133(2).
MLA "Determine the best method for analysing long-term (120 years) annual and seasonal rainfall trends in four east India river basins".JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE 133.2(2024).
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