气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41559-023-02287-3
	Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe
	Chauvier-Mendes, Yohann; Pollock, Laura J.; Verburg, Peter H.; Karger, Dirk N.; Pellissier, Loic; Lavergne, Sebastien; Zimmermann, Niklaus E.; Thuiller, Wilfried
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2397-334X
起始页码	8
结束页码	3
卷号	8 期号:3
英文摘要	To meet the COP15 biodiversity framework in the European Union (EU), one target is to protect 30% of its land by 2030 through a resilient transnational conservation network. The European Alps are a key hub of this network hosting some of the most extensive natural areas and biodiversity hotspots in Europe. Here we assess the robustness of the current European reserve network to safeguard the European Alps' flora by 2080 using semi-mechanistic simulations. We first highlight that the current network needs strong readjustments as it does not capture biodiversity patterns as well as our conservation simulations. Overall, we predict a strong shift in conservation need through time along latitudes, and from lower to higher elevations as plants migrate upslope and shrink their distribution. While increasing species, trait and evolutionary diversity, migration could also threaten 70% of the resident flora. In the face of global changes, the future European reserve network will need to ensure strong elevation and latitudinal connections to complementarily protect multifaceted biodiversity beyond national borders. Simulations of species range shifts for flora of the European Alps under varying climate and land-use models to 2080 provide the basis for spatial conservation planning to preserve taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS类目	Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS记录号	WOS:001153349900003
来源期刊	NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296211
作者单位	Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; McGill University; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Communaute Universite Grenoble Alpes; Universite Grenoble Alpes (UGA); Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Universite Savoie Mont Blanc; Universite Gustave-Eiffel
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chauvier-Mendes, Yohann,Pollock, Laura J.,Verburg, Peter H.,et al. Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe[J],2024,8(3).
APA	Chauvier-Mendes, Yohann.,Pollock, Laura J..,Verburg, Peter H..,Karger, Dirk N..,Pellissier, Loic.,...&Thuiller, Wilfried.(2024).Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe.NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,8(3).
MLA	Chauvier-Mendes, Yohann,et al."Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe".NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION 8.3(2024).