气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Larval dispersal and climate models provide insights into present and future distribution of a tropical sardine

CCPortal

DOI	10.1080/17451000.2024.2309562
	Larval dispersal and climate models provide insights into present and future distribution of a tropical sardine
	Coelho, Jessica Fernanda Ramos; Angeles-Gonzalez, Luis Enrique; Cahuich-Lopez, Miguel; Marino-Tapia, Ismael; Lima, Sergio Maia Queiroz
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1745-1000
EISSN	1745-1019
英文摘要	Climate change impacts the distribution of marine organisms and threatens fisheries. Marine protected areas (MPAs) may buffer the detrimental effects of environmental change by acting as biodiversity spillover to neighboring areas. Yet, it is uncertain whether MPAs on islands favor passive dispersal of species through oceanic currents, and how fish abundance and distribution will be impacted by ongoing global warming. Using the Brazilian-endemic scaled-sardines (Harengula sp.) as model, we implemented a Lagrangian particle-tracking model to estimate dispersal in the Brazilian coast and four MPAs in islands. Then, we projected an ecological niche model (ENM) of Harengula sp. to three climatic scenarios in 2100. Dispersal models suggested that three MPAs in islands export eggs and larvae acting as source of biomass to the coast. ENMs indicated a decrease in environmental suitability for Harengula sp. at the Equatorial Brazilian coast and a southward shift that increases as the climatic scenario is aggravated. Ocean warming may lead to a decrease in suitability for Harengula sp. in the northernmost part of its current distribution concomitant with an increase in offshore zones in the south of its current distribution. Ecosystem disturbance with environmental suitability shifts can aggravate the isolation of populations in islands.
英文关键词	Ecological niche modelling; global warming; larval dispersal modelling; marine protected areas; scaled sardines; Tropical Western Atlantic
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS类目	Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS记录号	WOS:001194313600001
来源期刊	MARINE BIOLOGY RESEARCH
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/295208
作者单位	Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte; CICESE - Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada; Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico; National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Coelho, Jessica Fernanda Ramos,Angeles-Gonzalez, Luis Enrique,Cahuich-Lopez, Miguel,et al. Larval dispersal and climate models provide insights into present and future distribution of a tropical sardine[J],2024.
APA	Coelho, Jessica Fernanda Ramos,Angeles-Gonzalez, Luis Enrique,Cahuich-Lopez, Miguel,Marino-Tapia, Ismael,&Lima, Sergio Maia Queiroz.(2024).Larval dispersal and climate models provide insights into present and future distribution of a tropical sardine.MARINE BIOLOGY RESEARCH.
MLA	Coelho, Jessica Fernanda Ramos,et al."Larval dispersal and climate models provide insights into present and future distribution of a tropical sardine".MARINE BIOLOGY RESEARCH (2024).