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DOI10.1038/s41467-024-44947-3
A triple increase in global river basins with water scarcity due to future pollution
Wang, Mengru; Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon; Rijneveld, Rhode; Beier, Felicitas; Bak, Mirjam P.; Batool, Masooma; Droppers, Bram; Popp, Alexander; van Vliet, Michelle T. H.; Strokal, Maryna
发表日期2024
EISSN2041-1723
起始页码15
结束页码1
卷号15期号:1
英文摘要Water security is at stake today. While climate changes influence water availability, urbanization and agricultural activities have led to increasing water demand as well as pollution, limiting safe water use. We conducted a global assessment of future clean-water scarcity for 2050s by adding the water pollution aspect to the classical water quantity-induced scarcity assessments. This was done for >10,000 sub-basins focusing on nitrogen pollution in rivers by integrating land-system, hydrological and water quality models. We found that water pollution aggravates water scarcity in >2000 sub-basins worldwide. The number of sub-basins with water scarcity triples due to future nitrogen pollution worldwide. In 2010, 984 sub-basins are classified as water scarce when considering only quantity-induced scarcity, while 2517 sub-basins are affected by quantity & quality-induced scarcity. This number even increases to 3061 sub-basins in the worst case scenario in 2050. This aggravation means an extra 40 million km2 of basin area and 3 billion more people that may potentially face water scarcity in 2050. Our results stress the urgent need to address water quality in future water management policies for the Sustainable Development Goals.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001158656400036
来源期刊NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/294779
作者单位Wageningen University & Research; Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung; Humboldt University of Berlin; Helmholtz Association; Helmholtz Center for Environmental Research (UFZ); Utrecht University
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Wang, Mengru,Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon,Rijneveld, Rhode,et al. A triple increase in global river basins with water scarcity due to future pollution[J],2024,15(1).
APA Wang, Mengru.,Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon.,Rijneveld, Rhode.,Beier, Felicitas.,Bak, Mirjam P..,...&Strokal, Maryna.(2024).A triple increase in global river basins with water scarcity due to future pollution.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,15(1).
MLA Wang, Mengru,et al."A triple increase in global river basins with water scarcity due to future pollution".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 15.1(2024).
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