气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ad2890
	Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area
	Moon, Suyeon; Ha, Kyung-Ja; Lee, Sun-Seon
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1748-9326
起始页码	19
结束页码	3
卷号	19 期号:3
英文摘要	Human activities have led to a global temperature increase, and the primary objective of the Paris Agreement is to limit this rise to 1.5 degrees C of warming level. Understanding the impact of global warming beyond preindustrial conditions on precipitation intensity is crucial for devising effective adaptation and mitigation strategies, particularly in densely populated global land monsoon (GLM) regions. However, the time of emergence (ToE) of extreme summer monsoon precipitation and its dependency on global warming targets has rarely been investigated. Using large ensemble simulations forced by the SSP3-7.0 scenario, we reveal that the impacts of anthropogenic forcing on extreme precipitation intensity become evident in GLM regions before 2050, accompanied by a sudden expansion in areas where the ToE of extreme precipitation occurs. Furthermore, our study demonstrates that achieving the Paris Agreement goal at 1.5 degrees C of global warming level can prevent the ToE of extreme precipitation in Asian and African monsoon regions. This, in turn, has the potential to halve the number (over one billion) of individuals exposed to extreme precipitation. These findings highlight the urgent need for action to mitigate the risk associated with anthropogenic warming induced climate change.
英文关键词	extreme precipitation; time of emergence of extreme precipitation; anthropogenic signal; global monsoon precipitation; exposed population; global warming level; CESM2-LE
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001168144700001
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/294034
作者单位	University of Tokyo; Institute for Basic Science - Korea (IBS); Pusan National University; Pusan National University; Pusan National University; Korea Advanced Institute of Science & Technology (KAIST)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Moon, Suyeon,Ha, Kyung-Ja,Lee, Sun-Seon. Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area[J],2024,19(3).
APA	Moon, Suyeon,Ha, Kyung-Ja,&Lee, Sun-Seon.(2024).Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(3).
MLA	Moon, Suyeon,et al."Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.3(2024).