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DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111652
The effect of water temperature changes on biological water quality assessment
发表日期2024
ISSN1470-160X
EISSN1872-7034
起始页码159
卷号159
英文摘要Increasing temperatures caused by anthropogenic climate change are leading to changes in the composition of local communities across biomes. This has implications for ecological assessment methods that rely on macroinvertebrates as bioindicators of water quality. To investigate the influence of changing water temperature on these assessment methods, we analysed macroinvertebrate data from Swiss national monitoring programs. We used a species distribution model to simulate temperature change effects on macroinvertebrate communities and estimated the resulting changes on three biological indices commonly used in Switzerland, namely the species richness of Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera and Trichoptera (EPT), the Swiss biological (IBCH) index along with its components, as well as the species at risk pesticides (SPEAR(pesticides)) index. While results vary by temperature scenario and index, our model results for the most realistic water temperature increase scenario of + 2 C across most sites in Switzerland suggest no, or only a minor, influence of temperature (not accounting for other hydrological changes). Our model projection predicted only a small increase in the probability of occurrence for 70 % of the studied families. The sensitivity to temperature as captured in our model is generally not very high and varies among the biological indices: on average across all sites, a + 2 degree celsius increase in temperature resulted in a 7 % increase in EPT species richness, a 4 % increase in the IBCH index, and a less than 1 % increase in the SPEAR(pesticides) index. Our study suggests the robustness of these biological indices to moderate warming and points towards the usefulness of these biological indices for the next few decades as tools for water quality assessment. Despite some limitations of statistical species distribution models (e.g., not accounting for dispersal limitation or biotic interactions, predictive performance varying by taxon), the study provides valuable insights into the complex relationships between environmental factors and macroinvertebrate communities, and the potential impacts of future temperature change. These findings can inform conservation and management efforts for these important ecological systems.
英文关键词Biological indices; Macroinvertebrate species richness; IBCH index; SPEAR(pesticides) index; Climate change; Water quality assessment
语种英语
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001177552700001
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/291079
作者单位Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science & Technology (EAWAG); Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science & Technology (EAWAG); Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; ETH Zurich
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GB/T 7714
. The effect of water temperature changes on biological water quality assessment[J],2024,159.
APA (2024).The effect of water temperature changes on biological water quality assessment.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,159.
MLA "The effect of water temperature changes on biological water quality assessment".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 159(2024).
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