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DOI10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.009
Streamflow abrupt change and the driving factors in glacierized basins of Tarim Basin, Northwest China
发表日期2024
ISSN1674-9278
起始页码15
结束页码1
卷号15期号:1
英文摘要A climate transition towards warm-wet conditions in Northwest China has drawn much attention. With continuous climate change and universal glacier degradation, increasing water-related hazards and vulnerability have become one of the important problems facing the Tarim Basin. However, the impacts of the climate transition on streamflow abrupt change and extreme hydrological events were less discussed, especially in glacial basins. In the present study, the discharge datasets in four glacial basins of Tarim Basin from 1979 to 2018 were constructed using the GRU-GSWAT thorn model first. The differences in streamflow characteristics, the shift of hydrological extreme pattern, and potential changes of the controlling factors before and after the abrupt changes were investigated. The results indicated that the abrupt change point (ACP) in streamflow occurred in 2000 in the Qarqan River Basin, 2002 in the Weigan River Basin, and 1994 in the Aksu River Basin and the Yarkant River Basin. A general decrease in streamflow before the ACP has shifted to a notable upward trend in the Qarqan River Basin and the Aksu River Basin, while minor upward fluctuations were observed in other basins. Moreover, the hydrological characteristics in extreme events vary dramatically before and after the ACPs, characterized by a pronouncing shift from drought-dominant pattern to wet events dominated pattern. The driven climate factors have been altered after the ACPs with notable spatial heterogeneity, in which temperature remained as the dominant role in meltwater-dominated basins while the influence of precipitation has increased after the ACPs, whereas the sensitivity of temperature on streamflow change has been enhanced in basins dominated by precipitation such as the Qarqan River Basin. Owing to the evident warming-wetting trend and glacier compensation effect, both the inter-annual and intra-annual streamflow fluctuations can be efficiently smoothed in basins with a high glacier area ratio (GAR). These findings provide a further understanding of the abrupt change in streamflow under the exacerbated climate and glacier change in mountainous arid regions.
英文关键词Abrupt change; Streamflow; Hybrid model; Tarim Basin; Glacier
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001189170800001
来源期刊ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/290857
作者单位Chinese Academy of Sciences; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, CAS
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. Streamflow abrupt change and the driving factors in glacierized basins of Tarim Basin, Northwest China[J],2024,15(1).
APA (2024).Streamflow abrupt change and the driving factors in glacierized basins of Tarim Basin, Northwest China.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,15(1).
MLA "Streamflow abrupt change and the driving factors in glacierized basins of Tarim Basin, Northwest China".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 15.1(2024).
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