气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Predicting the current and future suitable distribution range of Trilocha varians (Walker, 1855) (Lepidoptera: Bombycidae) in China

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DOI	10.1017/S0007485324000117
	Predicting the current and future suitable distribution range of Trilocha varians (Walker, 1855) (Lepidoptera: Bombycidae) in China
	Qian, Qianqian; Xu, Danping; Liao, Wenkai; Zhuo, Zhihang
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0007-4853
EISSN	1475-2670
英文摘要	Trilocha varians is one of the major pests of Ficus spp. Based on 19 bioclimatic variables provided by the Worldclim, our study analysed the suitable distribution areas of T. varians under current and future climate changes (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) for two periods (the 2050s and 2090s) using the maximum entropy algorithm (MaxEnt) model. Key environmental variables affecting the geographic distribution of T. varians were also identified, and the changes in the area of suitable range under current and future climate changes were compared. The results showed that the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of T. varians were temperature and precipitation, comprising annual mean temperature (bio1), temperature seasonality (standard deviation x 100) (bio4), precipitation of driest month (bio14), and precipitation of driest quarter (bio17). Under the current climatic conditions, the suitable distribution area of T. varians is within the range of 92 degrees 13'E-122 degrees 08'E, 18 degrees 17'N-31 degrees 55'N. The current high, medium, and low suitable areas for T. varians predicted by the MaxEnt model are 14.00 x 10(4), 21.50 x 10(4), and 71.95 x 10(4) km(2), of which the high suitable areas are mainly distributed in southern Guangdong, southwestern Guangxi, western Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Hainan. Under different future climatic conditions, some of the high, medium, and low suitability zones for T. varians increased and some decreased, but the mass centre did not migrate significantly. The Pearl River Basin is predicted to remain the main distribution area of T. varians.
英文关键词	climate change; environmental variables; MaxEnt model; potential geographical distribution; Trilocha varians
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Entomology
WOS类目	Entomology
WOS记录号	WOS:001217334900001
来源期刊	BULLETIN OF ENTOMOLOGICAL RESEARCH
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/289618
作者单位	China West Normal University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Qian, Qianqian,Xu, Danping,Liao, Wenkai,et al. Predicting the current and future suitable distribution range of Trilocha varians (Walker, 1855) (Lepidoptera: Bombycidae) in China[J],2024.
APA	Qian, Qianqian,Xu, Danping,Liao, Wenkai,&Zhuo, Zhihang.(2024).Predicting the current and future suitable distribution range of Trilocha varians (Walker, 1855) (Lepidoptera: Bombycidae) in China.BULLETIN OF ENTOMOLOGICAL RESEARCH.
MLA	Qian, Qianqian,et al."Predicting the current and future suitable distribution range of Trilocha varians (Walker, 1855) (Lepidoptera: Bombycidae) in China".BULLETIN OF ENTOMOLOGICAL RESEARCH (2024).