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DOI10.1038/s41598-024-55176-5
Amazon savannization and climate change are projected to increase dry season length and temperature extremes over Brazil
发表日期2024
ISSN2045-2322
起始页码14
结束页码1
卷号14期号:1
英文摘要Land use change and atmospheric composition, two drivers of climate change, can interact to affect both local and remote climate regimes. Previous works have considered the effects of greenhouse gas buildup in the atmosphere and the effects of Amazon deforestation in atmospheric general circulation models. In this study, we investigate the impacts of the Brazilian Amazon savannization and global warming in a fully coupled ocean-land-sea ice-atmosphere model simulation. We find that both savannization and global warming individually lengthen the dry season and reduce annual rainfall over large tracts of South America. The combined effects of land use change and global warming resulted in a mean annual rainfall reduction of 44% and a dry season length increase of 69%, when averaged over the Amazon basin, relative to the control run. Modulation of inland moisture transport due to savannization shows the largest signal to explain the rainfall reduction and increase in dry season length over the Amazon and Central-West. The combined effects of savannization and global warming resulted in maximum daily temperature anomalies, reaching values of up to 14 degrees C above the current climatic conditions over the Amazon. Also, as a consequence of both climate drivers, both soil moisture and surface runoff decrease over most of the country, suggesting cascading negative future impacts on both agriculture production and hydroelectricity generation.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001179043600041
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288346
作者单位Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul; Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz; Universidade de Sao Paulo
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. Amazon savannization and climate change are projected to increase dry season length and temperature extremes over Brazil[J],2024,14(1).
APA (2024).Amazon savannization and climate change are projected to increase dry season length and temperature extremes over Brazil.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1).
MLA "Amazon savannization and climate change are projected to increase dry season length and temperature extremes over Brazil".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024).
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