气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Co-designed agro-climate indicators identify different future climate effects for grape and olive across Europe

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100454
	Co-designed agro-climate indicators identify different future climate effects for grape and olive across Europe
	Ceglar, Andrej; Yang, Chenyao; Toreti, Andrea; Santos, Joao A.; Pasqui, Massimiliano; Ponti, Luigi; Dell'Aquila, Alessandro; Graca, Antonio
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2405-8807
起始页码	34
卷号	34
英文摘要	Co -design processes involving the scientific community, practitioners, end users and stakeholders can efficiently characterize harmful weather events during the growing season that potentially result in losses of crop yield and quality. This study builds on the experience of the EU Horizon 2020 project MED -GOLD for grape and olive. The identified agro-climate indicators are extended from the MED -GOLD regions to the entire ones where grape and olive are currently grown in Europe and Turkey, and used to assess climate change impacts with intrinsic adaptation relevance stemming from the co -design process. Before 2000, only a low fraction of the European grape and olive growing areas was exposed to extreme weather events as revealed by the agro-climate indicators, but this has changed rapidly afterward. Projections show increasingly widespread extreme high temperature events from 2020 to 2080. Approximately one-third of grapevine regions and over half of olive cultivation areas are expected to experience extreme drought conditions. Additionally, the frequency of compound extreme events will increase in the future, especially in the Mediterranean region and under the high -end emission scenario RCP8.5. This outcome calls for a new decision-making mindset that embeds expected levels of climate variability and extremes as the new normal for grape and olive in Europe. This will facilitate deployment of the required biophysical, economic and policy adaptation tools.
英文关键词	Grape; Olive; Climate change; Europe; Mediterranean; Compound events
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001204105100001
来源期刊	CLIMATE SERVICES
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288294
作者单位	European Commission Joint Research Centre; EC JRC ISPRA Site; Sichuan Agricultural University; University of Tras-os-Montes & Alto Douro; Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR); Istituto per la BioEconomia (IBE-CNR); Italian National Agency New Technical Energy & Sustainable Economics Development; European Central Bank
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ceglar, Andrej,Yang, Chenyao,Toreti, Andrea,et al. Co-designed agro-climate indicators identify different future climate effects for grape and olive across Europe[J],2024,34.
APA	Ceglar, Andrej.,Yang, Chenyao.,Toreti, Andrea.,Santos, Joao A..,Pasqui, Massimiliano.,...&Graca, Antonio.(2024).Co-designed agro-climate indicators identify different future climate effects for grape and olive across Europe.CLIMATE SERVICES,34.
MLA	Ceglar, Andrej,et al."Co-designed agro-climate indicators identify different future climate effects for grape and olive across Europe".CLIMATE SERVICES 34(2024).